Alejandro Moro Canas vs Henrique RochaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Alejandro Moro Canas
#233 · 25 yrs · R
4 meetings · sets 8–2
🇵🇹Henrique Rocha
#106 · 22 yrs · R
4TitleAlejandro Moro Canas and Henrique Rocha have met 4 times since 2025; Alejandro Moro Canas leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Tenerife 1 Challenger in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Canas leads 3–0. Canas has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Canas has taken 8 sets to Rocha's 2. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Moro Canas won at Oeiras 2 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moro Canas | Rocha | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Moro Canas | Henrique Rocha | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 27/47 | 75% | 30/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 12/31 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 32/78 | 33% | 22/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 21/52 | 45% | 21/47 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 15/25 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 22/39 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 34/41 | 88% | 36/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 27/41 | 73% | 30/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moro Canas 2, Rocha 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Canas
🏹 Frontrunner
Rocha
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 63% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 398 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alejandro Moro Canas.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 26, 2026
Oeiras 2 Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 1, 2025
Porto Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 17, 2025
Oeiras 4 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 8, 2025
Tenerife 1 Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Canas | Rocha | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Moro Canas | Henrique Rocha | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 23/25 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 68% | 17/25 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 10/25 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 10 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Canas | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–9 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 1.83 |
| ROI % | -4.3% | -11.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.13u | -1.77u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Canas | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ITA | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rocha has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Canas's 30%).
| Opponent | Canas | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Lloyd Harris | L 57 57 | L 62 26 67 |
| Remy Bertola | L 36 46 | W 62 46 62 |
| Oliver Crawford | L 46 06 | L 16 46 |
| Carlos Sanchez Jover | L 61 67 46 | W 76 62 |
| Daniel Merida | W 62 36 75 | W 76 63 |
| Zsombor Piros | L 64 36 46 | W 64 76 |
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | W 64 76 | L 64 36 16 |
| Rei Sakamoto | L 46 46 | W 76 76 |
| Tom Gentzsch | L 36 06 | W 76 76 |
| Franco Agamenone | W 63 76 | W 75 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jonas Forejtek
Palermo Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Massimo Giunta
Palermo Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Andrej Martin
Palermo Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Kalin Ivanovski
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Alexander Ritschard
M25 Zaragoza · Final
Oct 4
Sander Jong
M25 Zaragoza · Semifinals
Oct 3
Pedro Vives Marcos
M25 Zaragoza · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Bruno Pujol Navarro
M25 Zaragoza · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Porto Challenger · Final
Oct 4
August Holmgren
Porto Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Mili Poljicak
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Cezar Cretu
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dusan Lajovic
Seville Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Seville Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Carlos Taberner
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Lloyd Harris
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 67–80 matches
| Metric | Canas | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 60% |
| Sets won | 55% | 59% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Canas | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 4 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Canas | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.