Alex Bolt vs Christopher O'ConnellPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐บAlex Bolt
#170 ยท 33 yrs ยท L
2 meetings ยท sets 2โ3

๐ฆ๐บChristopher O'Connell
#117 ยท 32 yrs ยท R
7w3Alex Bolt and Christopher O'Connell have met 2 times since 2020; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at Barcelona Challenger in 2020 on clay. Across all meetings Bolt has taken 2 sets to O'Connell's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alex Bolt won at London / Queen's Club (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bolt | O'Connell | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Bolt | Christopher O'Connell | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 75% | 18/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 11/26 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 19/58 | 27% | 12/44 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 18/34 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 54% | 13/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 20/30 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 90% | 19/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 24/32 | 86% | 18/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bolt 0, O'Connell 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bolt
๐ค Servebot
O'Connell
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alex Bolt and Christopher O'Connell are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 15, 2025
London / Queen's Club
G Grass ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 6, 2020
Barcelona Challenger
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bolt | O'Connell | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Bolt | Christopher O'Connell | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 10 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Bolt | O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ5 | 6โ3 |
| Avg odds | 2.39 | 2.42 |
| ROI % | -10.4% | +26.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.15u | +2.41u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bolt | O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 8 | โ |
| Distance | 927 mi ยท 1,492 km | โ |
| Route | CHN | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Bolt has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs O'Connell's 40%).
| Opponent | Bolt | O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Sweeny | W 63 76 | W 67 62 75 |
| James Duckworth | W 75 61 | L 36 16 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | L 63 36 67 | W 64 64 |
| Darwin Blanch | W 75 63 | L 67 64 36 |
| Elias Ymer | L 67 67 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lloyd Harris
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger ยท Semifinals
Oct 3
Dane Sweeny
Jingshan Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Evan Zhu
Jingshan Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 1
Semen Pankin
Jingshan Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 29
Fabian Marozsan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท 1st Round
Sep 24
Akira Santillan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Omar Jasika
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Zsombor Piros
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefanos Sakellaridis
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 20
Casper Ruud
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kamil Majchrzak
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Dane Sweeny
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 46โ58 matches
| Metric | Bolt | O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 52% |
| Sets won | 56% | 52% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bolt | O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bolt | O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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