Alejandro Tabilo vs Casper RuudPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alejandro Tabilo and Casper Ruud have met 3 times since 2020; Casper Ruud leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Santiago Open - Santiago in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Ruud leads 2–0. Ruud has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 0 sets to Ruud's 6. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabilo | Ruud | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Tabilo | Casper Ruud | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 18/36 | 77% | 24/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 15% | 2/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 31/64 | 20% | 9/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 15/40 | 56% | 20/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 14/23 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 27/36 | 93% | 25/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 18/36 | 89% | 24/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabilo 0, Ruud 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
🤖 Servebot
Ruud
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alejandro Tabilo and Casper Ruud are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 23, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Apr 10, 2024
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 26, 2020
Santiago Open - Santiago
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabilo | Ruud | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Tabilo | Casper Ruud | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 19% | 3/16 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–10 | 6–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.37 | 1.59 |
| ROI % | -5.3% | +4.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.90u | +0.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | GBR → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Tabilo's 30%).
| Opponent | Tabilo | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | L 57 63 46 | W 63 64 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 61 57 36 | L 67 36 |
| Tommy Paul | W 61 62 | W 46 67 64 76 75 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 06 26 | W 67 64 108 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 26 76 76 62 | W 64 63 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 67 36 | L 67 36 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 46 67 | L 46 26 67 |
| Ben Shelton | W 46 75 64 | L 63 46 36 46 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 26 36 | L 46 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 36 57 16 | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tommy Paul
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yannick Hanfmann
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Learner Tien
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Luciano Darderi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Francisco Cerundolo
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Fnu Nidunjianzan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rigele Te
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–72 matches
| Metric | Tabilo | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 70% |
| Sets won | 52% | 64% |
| Games won | 52% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabilo | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabilo | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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