Alejandro Tabilo vs Casper RuudPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alejandro Tabilo and Casper Ruud have met 3 times since 2020; Casper Ruud leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Santiago Open - Santiago in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Ruud leads 2–0. Ruud has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 0 sets to Ruud's 6. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabilo | Ruud | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Tabilo | Casper Ruud | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 26/49 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 11/27 | 23% | 3/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 34/76 | 23% | 10/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 22/46 | 58% | 21/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 17/27 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 15/32 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 37/45 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 26/45 | 85% | 23/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabilo 0, Ruud 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
💥 Big Hitter
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Alejandro Tabilo and Casper Ruud are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 23, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Apr 10, 2024
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 26, 2020
Santiago Open - Santiago
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabilo | Ruud | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Tabilo | Casper Ruud | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–9 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | -22.2% | -48.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | -2.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Tabilo's 40%).
| Opponent | Tabilo | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Joao Fonseca | L 67 36 | L 67 36 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 46 67 | L 46 26 67 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | L 26 36 | W 61 62 |
| Ben Shelton | W 46 75 64 | L 63 46 36 46 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 26 36 | L 46 46 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 61 57 36 | W 61 61 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 63 26 76 | W 63 61 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 63 67 46 | W 63 64 |
| Ethan Quinn | W 63 36 76 | L 46 67 |
| Marcos Giron | W 64 63 | W 46 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jan-Lennard Struff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 2
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Tallon Griekspoor
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
May 31
Tommy Paul
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Hamad Medjedovic
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–81 matches
| Metric | Tabilo | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 69% |
| Sets won | 57% | 64% |
| Games won | 53% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabilo | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabilo | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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