Alejandro Tabilo vs Alexei PopyrinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alejandro Tabilo and Alexei Popyrin have met 1 time since 2025; Alexei Popyrin leads 1–0. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 0 sets to Popyrin's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alexei Popyrin won at French Open - Paris (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- U.S. Open - New York
- Level
- Grand Slam
- Round
- 2nd Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 3 · 11:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 2.20 or longer, Alexei Popyrin has won 37 of 90 matches, 41% against a fair-price expectation of 37%.
Priced around 1.66 or shorter, Alejandro Tabilo has won 87 of 136 matches, 64% against a fair-price expectation of 63%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Alexei Popyrin and Alejandro Tabilo meet in the 2nd Round of the U.S. Open on September 3 under hard court conditions in New York. Popyrin, ranked 130th, defeated Tabilo in their only prior meeting. Tabilo is the 28th seed and won his first-round match.
Popyrin has won 4 of his last 5 matches and rides a two-match streak, though his hard court record stands at 6-14 overall. Tabilo has won 6 of his last 10 but dropped 3 of his past 5, bringing mixed form to the fixture. Head to head, Popyrin leads 1-0. Both men faced common opponents recently with split results: Popyrin beat Alex Michelsen and Daniil Medvedev while Tabilo lost to both, yet Tabilo defeated Thiago Agustin Tirante and Zizou Bergs in matches Popyrin lost.
Popyrin relies on a strong serve and looks to dictate from the baseline. Tabilo attacks with power from the ground and prefers to shorten points. On hard courts, Tabilo has posted a 12-8 record compared to Popyrin's 6-14. The match asks Popyrin to capitalize on his serving and first-strike game, while Tabilo must manage Popyrin's depth and consistency to create the aggressive opportunities his game demands.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabilo | Popyrin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Tabilo | Alexei Popyrin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 26/49 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 11/27 | 27% | 6/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 34/76 | 36% | 12/33 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 22/46 | 15% | 2/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 17/27 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 15/32 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 37/45 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 26/45 | 38% | 5/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
💥 Big Hitter
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,453 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 28, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabilo | Popyrin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Tabilo | Alexei Popyrin | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–8 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 2.06 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | -11.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.38u | -1.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,279 mi · 2,059 km | 2,012 mi · 3,238 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Popyrin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (29% vs Tabilo's 14%).
| Opponent | Tabilo | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 46 63 63 | L 36 46 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 36 57 57 | W 36 63 75 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 63 67 46 | L 46 26 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 36 57 16 | L 57 36 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 63 36 46 | W 60 46 61 |
| Quentin Halys | L 26 26 67 | L 75 36 46 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 46 46 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yannick Hanfmann
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Jan-Lennard Struff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 2
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Tallon Griekspoor
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Grigor Dimitrov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Andy Andrade
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–82 matches
| Metric | Tabilo | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 32% |
| Sets won | 57% | 36% |
| Games won | 53% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabilo | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabilo | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |