Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo HumbertPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
#26 · 27 yrs · R
Title3 meetings · sets 3–4
🇫🇷Ugo Humbert
#32 · 28 yrs · L
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Ugo Humbert have met 3 times since 2021; Ugo Humbert leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril in 2021 on clay. On hard courts Humbert leads 2–0. Humbert has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 3 sets to Humbert's 4. Their most recent meeting: Ugo Humbert won at Adelaide International - Adelaide (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Ugo Humbert | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 35% | 18/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 20/32 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 12/21 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 85% | 28/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 70% | 23/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 1, Humbert 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Humbert
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,590 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 16, 2026
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 9, 2024
Open 13 Provence - Marseille
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 30, 2021
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Ugo Humbert | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–1 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | +40.2% | -42.7% |
| Units P/L | +2.82u | -2.99u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Humbert has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Fokina's 40%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Jenson Brooksby | W 61 63 | W 63 62 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 61 67 46 | W 76 63 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | W 63 62 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 63 60 63 | L 36 16 |
| Quentin Halys | L 67 46 | W 63 64 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 26 76 16 | W 76 67 64 |
| Tommy Paul | L 36 67 | L 36 36 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 63 62 | W 61 62 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 62 | L 61 67 57 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 64 46 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Jenson Brooksby
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Final
Sep 29
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Arthur Gea
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Brandon Nakashima
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Andres Martin
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–56 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 55% |
| Sets won | 63% | 56% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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