Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Nuno BorgesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
#26 · 27 yrs · R
Title2 meetings · sets 2–3
🇵🇹Nuno Borges
#51 · 29 yrs · R
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Nuno Borges have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2024 on hard. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 2 sets to Borges's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Nuno Borges | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 33% | 17/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 20/32 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 12/21 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 79% | 19/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 1, Borges 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Borges
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,590 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 25, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 18, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Nuno Borges | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–1 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | +40.2% | -15.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.82u | -2.36u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fokina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Borges's 30%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | W 76 46 76 | L 46 46 |
| Learner Tien | L 64 16 67 | L 46 16 26 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | L 36 76 36 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 46 | W 63 64 |
| Grigor Dimitrov | W 63 63 | W 64 62 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 76 67 36 76 16 | L 36 63 36 |
| Ethan Quinn | W 76 63 | L 16 26 |
| Damir Dzumhur | W 67 63 26 75 63 | L 67 46 |
| Cristian Garin | W 76 64 | W 64 36 76 |
| Reilly Opelka | W 63 76 57 46 64 | L 76 26 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Jenson Brooksby
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Final
Sep 29
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Jiri Lehecka
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Learner Tien
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Francisco Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–60 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 48% |
| Sets won | 63% | 50% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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