Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Novak DjokovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธAlejandro Davidovich Fokina
#27 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
6w6 meetings ยท sets 2โ12

๐ท๐ธNovak Djokovic
#5 ยท 39 yrs ยท R
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Novak Djokovic have met 6 times since 2021; Novak Djokovic leads 5โ1. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Djokovic leads 3โ1. On hard courts Djokovic leads 2โ0. Djokovic has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 2 sets to Djokovic's 12. Their most recent meeting: Novak Djokovic won at Davis Cup, Group C, Valencia (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Novak Djokovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 19/24 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 11/41 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 19/29 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | โ | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 50% | 5/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 0, Djokovic 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
๐ฏ Baseliner
Djokovic
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ฏ Baseliner vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Sep 15, 2023
Davis Cup, Group C, Valencia
H Hard ยท Rubber 2
Jun 2, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท 3rd Round
Apr 12, 2022
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Jul 28, 2021
Olympics - Tokyo
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Jul 26, 2021
Tokyo Olympics
C Clay ยท Round of 16
May 13, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay ยท 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Novak Djokovic | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10โ4 | 5โ2 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 1.71 |
| ROI % | +2.7% | -12.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.38u | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 1 |
| Matches | โ | 1 |
| Distance | โ | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | โ | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Fokina and Djokovic posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Fokina | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 64 67 16 36 | L 62 46 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 76 67 36 76 16 | W 76 36 63 67 76 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 36 46 | L 64 64 36 57 57 |
| Valentin Royer | W 46 61 64 | W 63 62 67 63 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 76 62 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Marco Trungelliti
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Marton Fucsovics
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Fabian Marozsan
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Ethan Quinn
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca ยท Final
Jun 27
Fabian Marozsan
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca ยท Semifinals
Jun 26
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London ยท Semifinals
Jul 10
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Arthur Rinderknech
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Yibing Wu
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris ยท 3rd Round
May 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 31โ49 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 74% |
| Sets won | 60% | 65% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 3 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
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