Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Novak DjokovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธAlejandro Davidovich Fokina
#26 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
Title6 meetings ยท sets 2โ12

๐ท๐ธNovak Djokovic
#8 ยท 39 yrs ยท R
TitleAlejandro Davidovich Fokina and Novak Djokovic have met 6 times since 2021; Novak Djokovic leads 5โ1. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Djokovic leads 3โ1. On hard courts Djokovic leads 2โ0. Djokovic has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 2 sets to Djokovic's 12. Their most recent meeting: Novak Djokovic won at Davis Cup, Group C, Valencia (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Novak Djokovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 20/32 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 12/21 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 50% | 4/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 0, Djokovic 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
๐ฏ Baseliner
Djokovic
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ฏ Baseliner vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,590 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Sep 15, 2023
Davis Cup, Group C, Valencia
H Hard ยท Rubber 2
Jun 2, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท 3rd Round
Apr 12, 2022
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Jul 28, 2021
Olympics - Tokyo
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Jul 26, 2021
Tokyo Olympics
C Clay ยท Round of 16
May 13, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay ยท 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Novak Djokovic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ1 | 5โ3 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | +40.2% | +17.7% |
| Units P/L | +2.82u | +1.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 6 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi ยท 5,105 km | 663 mi ยท 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN โ JPN โ CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Djokovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Fokina's 29%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 64 76 | L 46 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 64 46 | W |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 46 | W 46 64 64 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 64 67 16 36 | L 62 46 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 76 67 36 76 16 | W 76 36 63 67 76 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 36 46 | L 64 64 36 57 57 |
| Valentin Royer | W 46 61 64 | W 63 62 67 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 11
Jenson Brooksby
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Final
Sep 29
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Semifinals
Sep 28
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 2nd Round
Sep 26
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Hubert Hurkacz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing ยท Final
Oct 6
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing ยท Semifinals
Oct 5
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Bu Yunchaokete
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Nuno Borges
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 28โ52 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 71% |
| Sets won | 63% | 63% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 3 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
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