Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia BellucciPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
#26 · 27 yrs · R
Title3 meetings · sets 3–5
🇮🇹Mattia Bellucci
#86 · 25 yrs · L
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Mattia Bellucci have met 3 times since 2025; Mattia Bellucci leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Bellucci has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 3 sets to Bellucci's 5. Their most recent meeting: Mattia Bellucci won at Boss Open - Stuttgart (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 71% | 25/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 32% | 9/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 30% | 19/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 20/32 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 59% | 19/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 12/21 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 86% | 30/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 71% | 25/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 0, Bellucci 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Bellucci
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,590 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 8, 2026
Boss Open - Stuttgart
G Grass · 1st Round
Feb 25, 2026
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 25, 2025
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 5 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–2 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.60 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | +24.0% | -10.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.16u | -1.84u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 10 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 927 mi · 1,492 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fokina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Bellucci's 50%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | W 76 46 76 | L 36 46 |
| Alexandre Muller | W 61 75 | W 64 62 |
| Adam Walton | W 64 75 | W 75 62 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 64 76 | W 62 64 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 62 46 62 | L 57 62 67 |
| Zachary Svajda | W 76 62 | W 76 76 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 75 67 | L 67 76 46 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 67 16 | L 64 46 36 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 64 67 16 36 | W 64 64 |
| Damir Dzumhur | W 67 63 26 75 63 | L 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Jenson Brooksby
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Final
Sep 29
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alexandre Muller
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Elias Ymer
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · Final
Oct 4
Yanki Erel
Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Adam Walton
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alexandre Muller
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Keisuke Saitoh
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–67 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 54% |
| Sets won | 63% | 52% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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