Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Luca Van AsschePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธAlejandro Davidovich Fokina
#27 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
6w3 meetings ยท sets 6โ2

๐ซ๐ทLuca Van Assche
#40 ยท 22 yrs ยท R
TitleAlejandro Davidovich Fokina and Luca Van Assche have met 3 times since 2023; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Fokina leads 2โ1. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 6 sets to Assche's 2. Their most recent meeting: Luca Van Assche won at Hamburg European Open - Hamburg (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Van Assche | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Luca Van Assche | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 19/24 | 57% | 25/44 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 11/41 | 42% | 28/67 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 19/29 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 92% | 34/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 68% | 25/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 1, Van Assche 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
๐ฏ Baseliner
Assche
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฏ Baseliner archetype wins about 55% vs โ๏ธ The Gladiator across 399 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 26, 2023
Hamburg European Open - Hamburg
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
May 31, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Apr 5, 2023
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Assche | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Luca Van Assche | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 91% | 19/21 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 62% | 13/21 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 19% | 4/21 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10โ4 | 14โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 1.88 |
| ROI % | +2.7% | +38.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.38u | +7.31u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 4 |
| Matches | โ | 7 |
| Distance | โ | 2,443 mi ยท 3,931 km |
| Route | โ | CAN โ USA โ CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Fokina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Assche's 38%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 46 | W 36 63 64 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 63 63 | W 63 46 62 |
| Alex Molcan | L 63 16 26 | W 64 64 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 76 62 63 | L 36 04 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 64 64 76 | L 67 46 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | L 76 46 75 16 36 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 67 16 | L 46 06 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 61 63 | L 60 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Marco Trungelliti
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Marton Fucsovics
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Fabian Marozsan
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Ethan Quinn
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca ยท Final
Jun 27
Fabian Marozsan
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca ยท Semifinals
Jun 26
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 25
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger ยท Final
Aug 23
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 22
Benjamin Bonzi
Quebec City Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Rei Sakamoto
Quebec City Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Yannick Hanfmann
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Titouan Droguet
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Alexander Blockx
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท Final
Jul 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 49โ69 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 65% |
| Sets won | 60% | 60% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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