Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Luca Van AsschePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธAlejandro Davidovich Fokina
#26 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
Title3 meetings ยท sets 6โ2

๐ซ๐ทLuca Van Assche
#45 ยท 22 yrs ยท R
3Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Luca Van Assche have met 3 times since 2023; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Fokina leads 2โ1. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 6 sets to Assche's 2. Their most recent meeting: Luca Van Assche won at Hamburg European Open - Hamburg (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Van Assche | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Luca Van Assche | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 60% | 29/48 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 39% | 29/75 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 20/32 | 51% | 25/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 12/21 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 95% | 38/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 73% | 29/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 1, Van Assche 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
๐ฏ Baseliner
Assche
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฏ Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 979 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 26, 2023
Hamburg European Open - Hamburg
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
May 31, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Apr 5, 2023
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Assche | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Luca Van Assche | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 75% | 12/16 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 25% | 4/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ1 | 11โ6 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | +40.2% | +33.5% |
| Units P/L | +2.82u | +5.69u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 2 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi ยท 5,105 km | 1,092 mi ยท 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN โ JPN โ CHN | JPN โ CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Fokina and Assche posted a 44% win rate.
| Opponent | Fokina | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 64 64 | L 67 46 |
| Denis Shapovalov | L 75 46 36 | L 06 46 67 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 62 | W 67 62 62 63 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 46 | W 36 63 64 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 63 63 | W 63 46 62 |
| Alex Molcan | L 63 16 26 | W 64 64 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 76 62 63 | L 36 04 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | L 76 46 75 16 36 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 67 16 | L 46 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 11
Jenson Brooksby
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Final
Sep 29
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Semifinals
Sep 28
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 2nd Round
Sep 26
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 8
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Denis Shapovalov
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 2
Cameron Norrie
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 30
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 25
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger ยท Final
Aug 23
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 22
Benjamin Bonzi
Quebec City Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 52โ79 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 63% |
| Sets won | 63% | 58% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.