Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Karen KhachanovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธAlejandro Davidovich Fokina
#27 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
6w4 meetings ยท sets 4โ6

๐ท๐บKaren Khachanov
#49 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
4Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Karen Khachanov have met 4 times since 2020; they are level 2โ2. Their first meeting came at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris in 2020 on hard. On clay courts Khachanov leads 2โ0. On hard courts Fokina leads 2โ0. Khachanov has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 4 sets to Khachanov's 6. Their most recent meeting: Karen Khachanov won at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Karen Khachanov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 19/24 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 11/41 | 53% | 17/32 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 19/29 | 15% | 4/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 18% | 3/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 36% | 5/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 0, Khachanov 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
๐ฏ Baseliner
Khachanov
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ฏ Baseliner vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 18, 2025
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Apr 11, 2023
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Mar 12, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Nov 2, 2020
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Karen Khachanov | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10โ4 | 2โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 1.47 |
| ROI % | +2.7% | -59.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.38u | -4.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 2 |
| Distance | โ | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km |
| Route | โ | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Fokina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Khachanov's 30%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Marco Trungelliti | W 64 75 | W 76 57 61 76 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 76 62 63 | W 62 46 64 |
| Ethan Quinn | W 76 63 | L 61 46 46 |
| Adam Walton | W 64 75 | W 62 63 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 64 46 | L 26 26 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 75 67 | L 36 63 67 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 16 | L 16 61 26 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 62 46 62 | L 46 67 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 61 63 | L 36 46 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 36 46 | L 64 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Marco Trungelliti
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Marton Fucsovics
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Fabian Marozsan
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Ethan Quinn
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca ยท Final
Jun 27
Fabian Marozsan
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca ยท Semifinals
Jun 26
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 15
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Flavio Cobolli
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 4
Yannick Hanfmann
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Billy Harris
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Ethan Quinn
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Jesper de Jong
French Open - Paris ยท 3rd Round
May 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 41โ49 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 44% |
| Sets won | 60% | 49% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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