Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Karen KhachanovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
#26 · 27 yrs · R
Title4 meetings · sets 4–6
🇷🇺Karen Khachanov
#27 · 30 yrs · R
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Karen Khachanov have met 4 times since 2020; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris in 2020 on hard. On clay courts Khachanov leads 2–0. On hard courts Fokina leads 2–0. Khachanov has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 4 sets to Khachanov's 6. Their most recent meeting: Karen Khachanov won at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Karen Khachanov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 49% | 17/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 20/32 | 21% | 6/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 12/21 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 47% | 8/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 0, Khachanov 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Khachanov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,590 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 18, 2025
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 11, 2023
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 12, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Nov 2, 2020
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Karen Khachanov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–1 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 1.94 |
| ROI % | +40.2% | +12.5% |
| Units P/L | +2.82u | +1.62u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 5 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Fokina and Khachanov posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Fokina | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Jenson Brooksby | W 61 63 | L 67 46 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 64 76 | L 67 26 |
| Alex Molcan | L 63 16 26 | W 75 63 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 76 67 36 76 16 | W 63 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 46 | L 36 67 67 |
| Learner Tien | L 64 16 67 | W 75 46 67 61 64 |
| Marco Trungelliti | W 64 75 | W 76 57 61 76 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 76 62 63 | W 62 46 64 |
| Ethan Quinn | W 76 63 | L 61 46 46 |
| Adam Walton | W 64 75 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Jenson Brooksby
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Final
Sep 29
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Adrian Mannarino
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Felix Auger-Aliassime
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–52 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 53% |
| Sets won | 63% | 54% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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