Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs John MillmanPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇪🇸Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
#27 · 27 yrs · R
7w2 meetings · sets 4–1
🇦🇺John Millman
Unranked
138w3Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and John Millman have met 2 times since 2021; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Tokyo Olympics in 2021 on clay. Fokina has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 4 sets to Millman's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won at Adelaide 2 (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Millman | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | John Millman | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 19/24 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 11/41 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 19/29 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 1, Millman 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Millman
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 460 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 11, 2023
Adelaide 2
H Hard · Round of 16
Jul 27, 2021
Tokyo Olympics
C Clay · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | - |
| ROI % | +2.7% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.38u | - |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Marco Trungelliti
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Marton Fucsovics
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Fabian Marozsan
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ethan Quinn
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Final
Jun 27
Fabian Marozsan
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Semifinals
Jun 26
Alex Molcan
Australian Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 11
Alessandro Giannessi
Australian Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 10
Stefano Travaglia
US Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Alejandro Tabilo
US Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Titouan Droguet
Cherbourg · Round of 32
Feb 14
Daniil Medvedev
Australian Open · Round of 64
Jan 18
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Adelaide 2 · Round of 16
Jan 11
Albert Ramos-Vinolas
Adelaide 2 · Round of 32
Jan 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–49 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | - |
| Sets won | 60% | - |
| Games won | 52% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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