Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jenson BrooksbyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
#26 · 27 yrs · R
Title2 meetings · sets 2–3
🇺🇸Jenson Brooksby
#102 · 25 yrs · R
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Jenson Brooksby have met 2 times since 2021; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at European Open - Antwerp in 2021 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 2 sets to Brooksby's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won at Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
- Level
- ATP Masters 1000
- Round
- 2nd Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 9 · 4:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.50 or shorter, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won 77 of 110 (70%). That is level with the 70% the price implied.
At 2.63 or longer, Jenson Brooksby has won 13 of 33 (39%). The price implied 29%, so Jenson Brooksby has beaten it by 10 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Jenson Brooksby meets Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the 2nd Round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters on October 9, with both players competing on hard court. Brooksby, ranked 102nd, advanced through the opening round after playing three matches in 14 days. Davidovich Fokina, the 26th seed, has won four of his last five matches but dropped his most recent outing eight days ago.
The pair split their two prior meetings. Brooksby has won 3 of his last 5 matches; Davidovich Fokina has won 4 of 5. On hard courts over a recent sample, Davidovich Fokina compiled a 13-7 record at 65%, while Brooksby stands at 10-10 at 50%. Both players have faced Nikoloz Basilashvili and Alex Molcan in recent weeks, with contrasting results: Davidovich Fokina defeated Basilashvili while Brooksby fell to him, though both lost to Molcan.
Both players operate from the baseline and rely on consistent groundstrokes to build points. Davidovich Fokina's hard court record and recent momentum show more consistent results in this format, while Brooksby has demonstrated the ability to compete when his timing is sharp. The question is whether Jenson Brooksby can sustain the rhythm that produced three wins in rapid succession or whether Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's steadier approach will control the pace of rallies.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Brooksby | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Jenson Brooksby | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 20/26 | 86% | 12/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 18% | 4/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 13/42 | 17% | 6/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 19/31 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 6/11 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 10/19 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 21/25 | 81% | 13/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 20/25 | 75% | 12/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 0, Brooksby 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Brooksby
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
Both Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Jenson Brooksby are 🎯 Baseliner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 428 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 22, 2025
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 22, 2021
European Open - Antwerp
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Brooksby | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Jenson Brooksby | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 54% | 7/13 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Brooksby |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 1.92 |
| ROI % | +11.9% | -3.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.84u | -0.51u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Brooksby |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 1,032 mi · 1,661 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fokina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Brooksby's 44%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Brooksby |
|---|---|---|
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 46 64 63 | L 46 67 |
| Alexandre Muller | W 61 75 | W 64 63 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 76 64 | W 57 75 62 |
| Adam Walton | W 64 75 | W 63 64 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 64 63 | W 64 64 |
| Alex Molcan | L 63 16 26 | L 26 57 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 75 67 | L 36 26 |
| Tommy Paul | L 36 67 | L 64 46 67 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 16 | L 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Final
Sep 29
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Marco Trungelliti
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Felix Auger Aliassime
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jaume Munar
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Lorenzo Sonego
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Sebastian Baez
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 23
Jaime Faria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–50 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Brooksby |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 38% |
| Sets won | 63% | 41% |
| Games won | 53% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Brooksby |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Brooksby |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |