Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Grigor DimitrovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธAlejandro Davidovich Fokina
#26 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
Title3 meetings ยท sets 6โ1

๐ง๐ฌGrigor Dimitrov
#127 ยท 35 yrs ยท R
3wAlejandro Davidovich Fokina and Grigor Dimitrov have met 3 times since 2021; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 3โ0. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Fokina leads 2โ0. Fokina has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 6 sets to Dimitrov's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won at Mallorca Championships - Mallorca (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Dimitrov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Grigor Dimitrov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 33% | 9/27 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 20/32 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 12/21 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 57% | 8/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 2, Dimitrov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
๐ฏ Baseliner
Dimitrov
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ฏ Baseliner vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,590 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 25, 2026
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca
G Grass ยท Quarterfinals
Apr 16, 2022
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay ยท Semifinals
May 11, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Dimitrov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Grigor Dimitrov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ1 | 3โ4 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 1.39 |
| ROI % | +40.2% | -50.6% |
| Units P/L | +2.82u | -3.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 1 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi ยท 5,105 km | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | CHN โ JPN โ CHN | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Fokina and Dimitrov posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Fokina | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Matteo Berrettini | L 61 67 46 | W 63 64 36 57 63 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 62 46 62 | W 76 46 75 63 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 63 63 | W 63 62 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 67 16 | L 67 64 67 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 64 64 | L 75 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 11
Jenson Brooksby
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Final
Sep 29
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Semifinals
Sep 28
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 2nd Round
Sep 26
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Edas Butvilas
St. Tropez Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Holger Rune
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 ยท Rubber 4
Sep 19
Elmer Moller
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 ยท Rubber 1
Sep 18
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Timofey Skatov
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Lorenzo Giustino
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 33โ52 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 42% |
| Sets won | 63% | 46% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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