Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Flavio CobolliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
#27 · 27 yrs · R
6w4 meetings · sets 3–6
🇮🇹Flavio Cobolli
#6 · 24 yrs · R
4Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Flavio Cobolli have met 4 times since 2021; Flavio Cobolli leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Rome in 2021 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts Cobolli leads 2–0. Cobolli has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 3 sets to Cobolli's 6. Their most recent meeting: Flavio Cobolli won at Hamburg Open - Hamburg (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Cobolli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Flavio Cobolli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 19/24 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 9% | 2/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 11/41 | 28% | 14/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 19/29 | 37% | 11/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 54% | 13/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 92% | 24/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 1, Cobolli 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Cobolli
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 21, 2025
Hamburg Open - Hamburg
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 21, 2024
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 1, 2024
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 9, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Cobolli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Flavio Cobolli | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 75% | 12/16 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 31% | 5/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 9–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 2.29 |
| ROI % | +2.7% | +36.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.38u | +5.17u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cobolli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Fokina's 20%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 64 46 | W 75 76 63 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 76 67 36 76 16 | W 46 64 64 64 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 46 | L 16 64 46 76 16 |
| Zachary Svajda | W 76 62 | W 62 63 67 76 |
| Learner Tien | L 64 16 67 | W 62 62 63 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 64 67 16 36 | L 36 46 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 46 | W 76 63 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 36 67 | W 63 57 64 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 61 63 | W 67 61 64 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 67 16 | L 57 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Marco Trungelliti
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Marton Fucsovics
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Fabian Marozsan
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ethan Quinn
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Final
Jun 27
Fabian Marozsan
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Semifinals
Jun 26
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Yannick Hanfmann
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Arthur Fery
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–63 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 59% |
| Sets won | 60% | 54% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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