Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Arthur RinderknechPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธAlejandro Davidovich Fokina
#26 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
Title2 meetings ยท sets 3โ5

๐ซ๐ทArthur Rinderknech
#33 ยท 31 yrs ยท R
4wAlejandro Davidovich Fokina and Arthur Rinderknech have met 2 times since 2021; Arthur Rinderknech leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Open 13 Provence - Marseille in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Rinderknech leads 2โ0. Rinderknech has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 3 sets to Rinderknech's 5. Their most recent meeting: Arthur Rinderknech won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Rinderknech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Arthur Rinderknech | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 50% | 18/36 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 20/32 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 12/21 | 37% | 11/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 53% | 8/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 0, Rinderknech 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
๐ฏ Baseliner
Rinderknech
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ฏ Baseliner vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,590 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 27, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Mar 11, 2021
Open 13 Provence - Marseille
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Rinderknech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Arthur Rinderknech | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 38% | 3/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ1 | 3โ7 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 2.14 |
| ROI % | +40.2% | -51.2% |
| Units P/L | +2.82u | -5.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 7 | โ |
| Distance | 3,172 mi ยท 5,105 km | โ |
| Route | CHN โ JPN โ CHN | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Rinderknech has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Fokina's 40%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | W 76 46 76 | W |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 61 67 46 | L 46 46 46 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 46 64 63 | W 75 64 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 64 64 | L 64 67 67 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 76 67 36 76 16 | L 64 67 46 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | L 67 75 57 |
| Alex Molcan | L 63 16 26 | W 75 76 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 63 60 63 | W 36 63 64 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 64 67 16 36 | W 64 61 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 46 | L 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 11
Jenson Brooksby
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Final
Sep 29
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Semifinals
Sep 28
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 2nd Round
Sep 26
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA ยท Rubber 4
Sep 19
Liam Draxl
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA ยท Rubber 1
Sep 18
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Jaume Munar
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sho Shimabukuro
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 30
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 4th Round
Aug 8
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 45โ52 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 42% |
| Sets won | 63% | 47% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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