Ajla Tomljanovic vs Elise MertensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐บAjla Tomljanovic
#108 ยท 33 yrs ยท Right-Handed
15w33 meetings ยท sets 2โ5

๐ง๐ชElise Mertens
#14 ยท 30 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Ajla Tomljanovic and Elise Mertens have met 3 times since 2018; Elise Mertens leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Rabat in 2018 on clay. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Mertens leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Tomljanovic has taken 2 sets to Mertens's 5. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomljanovic | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ajla Tomljanovic | Elise Mertens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 15/20 | 71% | 24/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 61% | 11/18 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 16/38 | 31% | 17/55 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 11/21 | 55% | 21/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 86% | 12/14 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 77% | 24/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tomljanovic 0, Mertens 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomljanovic
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Mertens
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Ajla Tomljanovic and Elise Mertens are ๐ฅ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 28, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Jun 15, 2021
Birmingham Classic - Birmingham
G Grass ยท 1st Round
May 6, 2018
Rabat
C Clay ยท Final
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 10โ6 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.05 |
| ROI % | - | +23.4% |
| Units P/L | - | +3.74u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 6 |
| Distance | โ | 2,779 mi ยท 4,472 km |
| Route | โ | SGP โ ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Tomljanovic's 29%).
| Opponent | Tomljanovic | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 46 76 61 | W 61 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 26 06 | W 76 61 |
| Tereza Valentova | L 26 75 46 | L 46 16 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 75 62 | L 36 36 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 57 75 16 | W 46 76 63 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 64 16 67 | L 61 36 06 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 64 46 36 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mariam Bolkvadze
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Tereza Valentova
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 2nd Round
Jun 24
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Veronika Erjavec
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Camila Osorio
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Robin Montgomery
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch ยท Semifinals
Jun 13
Caty Mcnally
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing ยท Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing ยท 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 38โ55 matches
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 62% |
| Sets won | 55% | 59% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tomljanovic | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tomljanovic | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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