Ajla Tomljanovic vs Elise MertensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Ajla Tomljanovic
#103 · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
9w33 meetings · sets 2–5
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Ajla Tomljanovic and Elise Mertens have met 3 times since 2018; Elise Mertens leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Rabat in 2018 on clay. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Mertens leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Tomljanovic has taken 2 sets to Mertens's 5. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomljanovic | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ajla Tomljanovic | Elise Mertens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 15/37 | 31% | 15/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 10/19 | 58% | 19/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 12/15 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 14/19 | 78% | 21/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tomljanovic 0, Mertens 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomljanovic
💥 Big Hitter
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Ajla Tomljanovic and Elise Mertens are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 28, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 15, 2021
Birmingham Classic - Birmingham
G Grass · 1st Round
May 6, 2018
Rabat
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tomljanovic | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ajla Tomljanovic | Elise Mertens | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | 9–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | +22.2% | +12.4% |
| Units P/L | +2.00u | +1.73u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 7 |
| Distance | — | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 8 shared opponents, both Tomljanovic and Mertens posted a 38% win rate.
| Opponent | Tomljanovic | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 46 76 61 | W 61 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 26 06 | W 76 61 |
| Tereza Valentova | L 26 75 46 | L 46 16 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 75 62 | L 36 36 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 57 75 16 | W 46 76 63 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 64 16 67 | L 61 36 06 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 64 46 36 | L 36 26 |
| Elsa Jacquemot | W 61 63 | L 64 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mariam Bolkvadze
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tereza Valentova
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Veronika Erjavec
Eastbourne
Jun 21
Camila Osorio
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Caty Mcnally
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Robin Montgomery
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Semifinals
Jun 13
Dayana Yastremska
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–49 matches
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 59% |
| Sets won | 54% | 58% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tomljanovic | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tomljanovic | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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