Adrian Mannarino vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Matteo Berrettini have met 3 times since 2018; Adrian Mannarino leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Mannarino leads 2–1. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 6 sets to Berrettini's 2. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 28% | 11/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 79% | 15/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 1, Berrettini 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
🎯 Baseliner
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 4, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 1, 2025
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 5, 2018
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 25% | 2/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 1.85 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | +2.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | +0.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Mannarino and Berrettini posted a 44% win rate.
| Opponent | Mannarino | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | L 67 46 62 26 | L 46 76 36 |
| Titouan Droguet | W 62 64 61 | W 36 61 64 |
| Learner Tien | W 75 64 | L 75 26 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 26 26 | L 16 67 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 36 63 | W 64 64 64 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 46 36 | L 67 36 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 36 67 | W 63 64 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 46 26 | L 67 76 46 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 63 62 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–51 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 56% |
| Sets won | 37% | 56% |
| Games won | 47% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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