Adrian Mannarino vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Matteo Berrettini have met 3 times since 2018; Adrian Mannarino leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Mannarino leads 2–1. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 6 sets to Berrettini's 2. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 33% | 13/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 16/34 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 89% | 16/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | 78% | 14/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 1, Berrettini 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
💥 Big Hitter
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 4, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 1, 2025
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 5, 2018
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 11% | 1/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | 1.82 |
| ROI % | +20.8% | -25.1% |
| Units P/L | +3.32u | -2.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 10 | 4 |
| Distance | 6,939 mi · 11,168 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | FRA → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Berrettini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Mannarino's 33%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 36 46 | W 63 64 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 36 16 16 | W 64 64 |
| Titouan Droguet | W 62 64 61 | W 36 61 64 |
| Learner Tien | W 75 64 | L 75 26 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 26 26 | L 16 67 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 36 63 | W 64 64 64 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 46 36 | L 67 36 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 36 67 | W 63 64 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 46 26 | L 67 76 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Miomir Kecmanovic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Juncheng Shang
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Stan Wawrinka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–54 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 58% |
| Sets won | 38% | 57% |
| Games won | 46% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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