Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey RublevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Andrey Rublev have met 5 times since 2019; Andrey Rublev leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Moscow in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Rublev leads 3–1. Rublev has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rublev leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 2 sets to Rublev's 10. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Wimbledon - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Rublev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Andrey Rublev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 33% | 14/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 47% | 17/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 0, Rublev 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
🎯 Baseliner
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 4, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Oct 9, 2023
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Oct 7, 2022
Astana Open - Astana
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 21, 2021
Kremlin Cup - Moscow
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 20, 2019
Moscow
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Rublev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Andrey Rublev | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 36% | 4/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 18% | 2/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 9% | 1/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | -22.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | -2.48u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Mannarino's 40%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Sonego | L 16 67 | W 62 63 |
| Nuno Borges | L 26 26 | L 36 46 |
| Jacob Fearnley | L 67 46 | W 61 64 |
| Learner Tien | W 75 64 | W 64 64 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 57 76 76 | L 36 67 64 62 36 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 36 63 | W 62 64 |
| Gabriel Diallo | W 64 36 75 | L 76 67 36 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 46 36 | W 64 67 63 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 46 26 | W 63 67 63 75 |
| Jesper de Jong | L 36 63 16 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–51 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 57% |
| Sets won | 37% | 56% |
| Games won | 47% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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