Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey RublevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Andrey Rublev have met 5 times since 2019; Andrey Rublev leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Moscow in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Rublev leads 3–1. Rublev has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rublev leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 2 sets to Rublev's 10. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Wimbledon - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Rublev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Andrey Rublev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 66% | 19/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 36% | 17/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 49% | 19/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 16/34 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | 63% | 19/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 0, Rublev 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
💥 Big Hitter
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Adrian Mannarino and Andrey Rublev are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 4, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Oct 9, 2023
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Oct 7, 2022
Astana Open - Astana
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 21, 2021
Kremlin Cup - Moscow
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 20, 2019
Moscow
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Rublev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Andrey Rublev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 83% | 15/18 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 44% | 8/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 11% | 2/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 6% | 1/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 11–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | +20.8% | -14.8% |
| Units P/L | +3.32u | -2.67u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 10 | 8 |
| Distance | 6,939 mi · 11,168 km | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | FRA → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Mannarino's 40%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W | W 36 76 62 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 26 26 | L 61 26 36 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 36 46 | W 76 61 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 76 36 76 | W 64 64 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 64 | W 64 46 64 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 36 36 16 | W 63 63 |
| Juncheng Shang | W 76 62 | L 57 64 67 |
| Daniel Merida | L 64 26 26 | L 76 26 46 46 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | L 16 67 | W 62 63 |
| Nuno Borges | L 26 26 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Miomir Kecmanovic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Juncheng Shang
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–57 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 61% |
| Sets won | 38% | 58% |
| Games won | 46% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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