ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 16 · ATP Masters 1000 Paris
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
Busta
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 2,807 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Tommy Paul plays Pablo Carreno Busta.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paul | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–5 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.54 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | +4.0% | +21.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.81u | +1.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Paul
0
Busta
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Paul's 50%).
| Opponent | Paul | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 76 | L 36 36 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 76 63 | W 63 62 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 57 46 | W 76 75 36 64 |
| Sebastian Ofner | L 61 57 46 57 | W 36 63 64 |
| Pedro Martinez | W 62 62 | W 64 46 64 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 75 46 46 | W 46 63 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Paul | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.9% | 71.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.6% | 70.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51% | 51.9% |
| Aces / Match | 5.3 | 3.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.4% | 30.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.7% | 36.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.8% | 52.7% |
| BP Converted % | 47.7% | 42.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25 | 20.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.9 | 17 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.6% | 86.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.8% | 52.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Final
Jun 20
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Zachary Svajda
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Matchup overview
Tommy Paul and Pablo Carreno Busta face off in the Round of 16 at ATP Masters 1000 Paris on Hard.
Tommy Paul leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Tommy Paul is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Francisco Cerundolo (Jun 20).
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
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