Pablo Carreno Busta and Tommy Paul have met 1 time since 2022; Tommy Paul leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at ATP Masters 1000 Paris (2022).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
💥 Big Hitter
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 2,807 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
1 career meeting, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Busta | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Pablo Carreno Busta | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 58% | 11/19 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 21% | 4/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/19 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 15–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.13 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | +21.0% | +4.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.26u | +0.81u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Paul's 50%).
| Opponent | Busta | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 36 36 | W 63 76 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 62 | W 76 63 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 76 75 36 64 | L 57 46 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 36 63 64 | L 61 57 46 57 |
| Pedro Martinez | W 64 46 64 | W 62 62 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 46 63 76 | L 75 46 46 |
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Jiri Lehecka
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Sebastian Baez
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 14
Francisco Comesana
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 32
May 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 6
Martin Damm
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Final
Jun 20
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Zachary Svajda
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Casper Ruud
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Lorenzo Sonego
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Rinky Hijikata
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–57 matches
| Metric | Busta | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 70% |
| Sets won | 60% | 65% |
| Games won | 53% | 55% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Busta | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Busta | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
