Grand Slam · Round of 16 · Roland Garros
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jodar
🪃 Counterpuncher
Busta
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,211 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Rafael Jodar plays Pablo Carreno Busta.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jodar | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–4 | 12–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.79 |
| ROI % | +16.6% | +29.9% |
| Units P/L | +3.65u | +4.49u |
First career meeting
Jodar and Busta have never faced each other on tour.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Jodar has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Busta's 43%).
| Opponent | Jodar | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 16 26 | L 26 16 |
| Martin Damm | W 63 76 | W 63 63 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 75 60 | L 36 61 46 |
| Arthur Fils | L 63 36 26 | L 36 46 |
| Dusan Lajovic | W 63 64 | L 46 63 36 |
| Denis Shapovalov | L 16 26 | W 62 64 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 43 41 43 | W 62 36 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Jodar | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.4% | 67% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66.3% | 66.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.8% | 53.5% |
| Aces / Match | 3.2 | 2.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2 | 1.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 57.4% | 43.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.2% | 34.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 45.4% | 47.2% |
| BP Converted % | 33% | 53.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 17.7 | 21.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 25.2 | 24.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 75.7% | 73.3% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.1% | 50.4% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 84% | 81% |
Last five matches per player
James Duckworth
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Luciano Darderi
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Quarterfinals
May 13
Learner Tien
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Matteo Arnaldi
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Jiri Lehecka
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Sebastian Baez
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 9
Alejandro Tabilo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Francisco Comesana
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 32
May 7
Martin Damm
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 6
Match summary
Rafael Jodar meets Pablo Carreno Busta in the Round of 16 at Roland Garros on May 31 on outdoor clay. Jodar, ranked 29th, has compiled a 13-5 record on the surface. Carreno Busta, ranked 89th, sits at 15-5 on clay and has been away for 23 days; Jodar's last match came 17 days ago.
The two have never faced each other. Both won 6 of their last 10 matches overall, though each lost his most recent outing. Among common opponents, Jodar beat Dusan Lajovic while Carreno Busta fell to him, and Carreno Busta defeated Denis Shapovalov in a match Jodar lost.
Jodar plays as a counterpuncher, reading the court and striking from behind the baseline. Carreno Busta is a versatile player comfortable at all distances, mixing serve-and-volley with baseline rallies. On clay, Carreno Busta has won 75% of his matches; Jodar has won 72%. The match turns on how Carreno Busta's court movement and attacking options fare against Jodar's patience and timing in long rallies.
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