ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 16 · Internazionali BNL d'Italia
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jodar
🏹 Frontrunner
Tien
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 589 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Rafael Jodar plays Learner Tien.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jodar | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–4 | 9–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.72 | 2.02 |
| ROI % | +10.7% | +17.1% |
| Units P/L | +2.25u | +2.39u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Jodar
0
Tien
May 12, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia
C Clay · Round of 16
Dec 17, 2025
Next Gen ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tien has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Jodar's 60%).
| Opponent | Jodar | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 67 16 36 | L 36 76 16 67 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 76 67 46 63 63 | W 64 36 61 |
| Nuno Borges | W 76 64 | W 76 64 62 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 67 | L 16 26 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 62 | W 63 36 76 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 63 63 | W 76 63 |
| Denis Shapovalov | L 16 26 | W 76 75 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 46 46 | W 43 42 41 |
| Nicolas Jarry | W 63 64 | L 26 26 36 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 43 41 43 | W 14 41 43 43 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Jodar | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.9% | 65.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 65.8% | 65.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.4% | 52.9% |
| Aces / Match | 3.4 | 4.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 3.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 57.9% | 56.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.3% | 32.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 47.5% | 49.2% |
| BP Converted % | 36.8% | 48.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.8 | 22.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.2 | 32.1 |
| Net Pts Won % | 75% | 61% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.2% | 50.2% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 82% | 67% |
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 2
Pablo Carreno Busta
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Alex Michelsen
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
James Duckworth
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Max Schoenhaus
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 32
Jun 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 16
Jun 12
Flavio Cobolli
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 30
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Cristian Garin
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Match summary
Rafael Jodar meets Learner Tien in the Round of 16 at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia on May 12 on outdoor clay. Jodar is ranked 34th while Tien sits at 21st, but recent results paint a different picture. Jodar has won 8 of his last 10 matches and arrives on a two-match streak after playing four times in two weeks. Tien, ranked higher, has won 6 of 10 and also carries momentum from back-to-back victories, though he has played only twice in the same span.
The two have met once before, with Jodar winning that encounter. Against common opponents, their results have diverged sharply. Tien defeated Alexander Blockx and Denis Shapovalov while Jodar lost to both; Jodar beat Nicolas Jarry while Tien fell to him. Both won against Cameron Norrie.
Jodar operates as an all-court player who thrives on clay, posting a 16-4 record (80%) on the surface in recent play. Learner Tien is a baseliner whose clay record stands at 6-10 (37%), suggesting he struggles to impose his game from the back of the court on this surface. Jodar's ability to shorten points and dictate from multiple positions will test whether Tien can find consistency from the baseline.
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