ATP 250 · Quarterfinals · HSBC Championships
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
Both Tommy Paul and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina are 🎯 Baseliner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 1,320 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paul | Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–4 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 2.08 |
| ROI % | +8.3% | -34.9% |
| Units P/L | +1.32u | -2.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
5
Paul
0
Fokina
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Fokina's 50%).
| Opponent | Paul | Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Zachary Svajda | W 75 63 | W 76 62 |
| Casper Ruud | L 64 76 46 67 57 | L 36 16 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 63 62 64 | W 76 64 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 57 46 | L 64 67 16 36 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 46 63 75 64 | W 63 62 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 26 63 63 | L 26 64 46 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 62 75 | W 75 63 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 46 63 64 | W 64 64 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 62 36 76 | L 67 16 |
| Learner Tien | W 46 64 63 | L 64 16 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Paul | Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65% | 70.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.3% | 68% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.7% | 49.4% |
| Aces / Match | 4.5 | 2.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2 | 1.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 48.5% | 49.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.9% | 36% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53% | 48.7% |
| BP Converted % | 41.9% | 49% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.1 | 21.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 35.5 | 27 |
| Net Pts Won % | 78.6% | 74.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.3% | 51.8% |
| Surface (Grass) | ||
| Grass Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Tommy Paul and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina face off in the Quarterfinals at HSBC Championships on Grass.
Tommy Paul leads 5-0 over 5 previous meetings.
Tommy Paul is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Zachary Svajda (Jun 15).
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Mattia Bellucci (Jun 10).
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