ATP 500 · Round of 16 · Tokyo
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
McDonald
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,120 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Tommy Paul plays Mackenzie McDonald.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paul | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–5 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.54 | 2.50 |
| ROI % | +4.0% | -32.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.81u | -3.25u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Paul
0
McDonald
Oct 18, 2023
Tokyo
H Hard · Round of 16
Mar 2, 2023
Acapulco
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 12, 2020
Acapulco
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs McDonald's 20%).
| Opponent | Paul | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 76 63 | W 64 36 63 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 46 63 75 64 | L 36 67 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 26 63 63 | L 26 26 36 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 67 76 76 | L 76 67 36 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 63 36 26 | L 67 76 46 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 57 46 | L 26 06 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 46 64 76 | W 64 62 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 75 46 46 | L 46 67 |
| Sebastian Korda | L 46 36 | L 46 57 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 46 63 64 | L 57 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Paul | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.9% | 65.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.6% | 62.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51% | 50.8% |
| Aces / Match | 5.3 | 2.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.4% | 59.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.7% | 29.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.8% | 46.8% |
| BP Converted % | 47.7% | 37.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25 | 26.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.9 | 30.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.6% | 63% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.8% | 47.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Final
Jun 20
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Zachary Svajda
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 14
Shintaro Mochizuki
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Niels Visker
Libema Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Rinky Hijikata
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 4
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Matchup overview
Tommy Paul and Mackenzie McDonald face off in the Round of 16 at Tokyo on Hard.
Tommy Paul leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Tommy Paul is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Francisco Cerundolo (Jun 20).
Mackenzie McDonald is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Jun 14).
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