ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Lexus Nottingham Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mochizuki
🧱 The Wall
McDonald
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 60% vs 🧱 The Wall across 2,182 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Mackenzie McDonald here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Grass, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mochizuki | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–3 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.97 | 2.60 |
| ROI % | -42.8% | -25.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.71u | -2.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
2
Mochizuki
2
McDonald
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mochizuki has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs McDonald's 43%).
| Opponent | Mochizuki | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Karen Khachanov | L 16 63 46 | L 57 46 46 |
| Roberto Carballes Baena | L 06 36 | W 64 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 46 26 | L 26 26 36 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 63 63 | L 67 76 46 |
| Arthur Cazaux | W 64 64 | L 36 26 |
| Bernard Tomic | W 61 64 | W 75 76 |
| Colton Smith | W 62 62 | W 64 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Mochizuki | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 58.2% | 66.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 65.5% | 60.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.5% | 51.9% |
| Aces / Match | 2.4 | 2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.6 | 1.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 25.7% | 58.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34% | 28.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.2% | 46% |
| BP Converted % | 66.4% | 38.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 22.8 | 16.1 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29.5 | 26.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 76.9% | 63.3% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49% | 46.4% |
| Surface (Grass) | ||
| Grass Win % | 50% | 100% |
Last five matches per player
Mackenzie McDonald
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Michael Zheng
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 8
Sander Jong
Libema Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 6
Sho Shimabukuro
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Remy Bertola
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 14
Shintaro Mochizuki
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Rinky Hijikata
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 4
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Matchup overview
Shintaro Mochizuki and Mackenzie McDonald face off in the Round of 16 at Lexus Nottingham Open on Grass.
Shintaro Mochizuki leads 2-2 over 4 previous meetings.
Shintaro Mochizuki is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Mackenzie McDonald (Jun 11).
Mackenzie McDonald is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Jun 14).
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