ATP 500 · Round of 32 · London / Queen's Club
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 2,683 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Tommy Paul plays Denis Shapovalov.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paul | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–4 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.60 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | +9.3% | -38.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.59u | -3.43u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
2
Paul
2
Shapovalov
Feb 8, 2025
Dallas
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 17, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 14, 2022
London / Queen's Club
G Grass · Round of 32
Nov 13, 2021
Stockholm
H Hard · Finals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Shapovalov's 30%).
| Opponent | Paul | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | W 26 63 63 | L 46 16 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 76 | W 57 64 63 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 76 63 | L 57 36 |
| Casper Ruud | L 64 76 46 67 57 | L 36 46 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 62 75 | L 57 36 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 67 76 76 | W 63 26 76 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 62 36 76 | L 46 26 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 26 36 | L 75 46 36 |
| Learner Tien | W 46 64 63 | L 67 57 |
| Adam Walton | W 76 63 | W 62 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Paul | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.5% | 60% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.8% | 68.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.7% | 48.8% |
| Aces / Match | 5.2 | 4.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.1 | 5.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 48.6% | 51.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.2% | 28.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.2% | 44.7% |
| BP Converted % | 43.5% | 40.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.5 | 15.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 33.6 | 26.1 |
| Net Pts Won % | 75.4% | 52.8% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.6% | 48.2% |
| Surface (Grass) | ||
| Grass Win % | 100% | 33% |
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Zachary Svajda
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Casper Ruud
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Lorenzo Sonego
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Matchup overview
Tommy Paul and Denis Shapovalov face off in the Round of 32 at London / Queen's Club on Grass.
Tommy Paul leads 2-2 over 4 previous meetings.
Tommy Paul is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Jun 15).
Denis Shapovalov is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alex de Minaur (Jun 17).
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