Grand Slam · Round of 128 · Us Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 58% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,395 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Marta Kostyuk here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kostyuk | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–1 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.42 | 2.68 |
| ROI % | +30.6% | -34.1% |
| Units P/L | +4.89u | -5.11u |
Prior meetings and scores · 8 career meetings
4
Kostyuk
4
Kasatkina
Jul 27, 2025
Montreal
H Hard · Round of 32
May 6, 2025
Rome
C Clay · Round of 64
Jun 17, 2024
Berlin
G Grass · Round of 32
Jan 1, 2024
Brisbane
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 25, 2023
Tokyo
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 14, 2021
Birmingham
G Grass · Round of 16
Apr 19, 2021
Istanbul
C Clay · Round of 16
Aug 31, 2020
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Kasatkina's 29%).
| Opponent | Kostyuk | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 36 | L |
| Iga Swiatek | W 75 61 | L 75 16 16 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 75 67 63 | W 64 64 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 62 63 | L 26 36 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 62 16 61 | L 57 64 46 |
| Ann Li | W 60 67 63 | L 76 26 46 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 62 64 | W 62 46 75 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kostyuk | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 58.1% | 71.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.7% | 55.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.5% | 40.4% |
| Aces / Match | 2.9 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4.1 | 5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 59.6% | 56.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 47.3% | 44.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 67.9% | 60.4% |
| BP Converted % | 60.6% | 48.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 58.1% | 50.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Marta Kostyuk and Daria Kasatkina face off in the Round of 128 at Us Open on Hard.
Marta Kostyuk leads 4-4 over 8 previous meetings.
Marta Kostyuk is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Mirra Andreeva (Jun 4).
Daria Kasatkina is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Anna Blinkova (Jun 13).
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