WTA 500 · Round of 32 · Tokyo
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 58% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,395 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Marta Kostyuk here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 15–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.68 | 1.42 |
| ROI % | -34.1% | +30.6% |
| Units P/L | -5.11u | +4.89u |
Prior meetings and scores · 8 career meetings
4
Kasatkina
4
Kostyuk
Jul 27, 2025
Montreal
H Hard · Round of 32
May 6, 2025
Rome
C Clay · Round of 64
Jun 17, 2024
Berlin
G Grass · Round of 32
Jan 1, 2024
Brisbane
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 25, 2023
Tokyo
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 14, 2021
Birmingham
G Grass · Round of 16
Apr 19, 2021
Istanbul
C Clay · Round of 16
Aug 31, 2020
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Kasatkina's 29%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L | L 46 36 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 64 64 | W 75 67 63 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 75 16 16 | W 75 61 |
| Caty Mcnally | L 26 36 | W 62 63 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 57 64 46 | W 62 16 61 |
| Ann Li | L 76 26 46 | W 60 67 63 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 62 46 75 | W 62 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kasatkina | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 71.2% | 58.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 55.6% | 69.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 40.4% | 48.5% |
| Aces / Match | 3 | 2.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5 | 4.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.3% | 59.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 44.1% | 47.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 60.4% | 67.9% |
| BP Converted % | 48.7% | 60.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.5% | 58.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Daria Kasatkina and Marta Kostyuk face off in the Round of 32 at Tokyo on Hard.
Daria Kasatkina leads 4-4 over 8 previous meetings.
Daria Kasatkina is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Anna Blinkova (Jun 13).
Marta Kostyuk is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Mirra Andreeva (Jun 4).
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