Grand Slam · Round of 128 · Australian Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
🤖 Servebot
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Mackenzie McDonald and Brandon Nakashima are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 12,482 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.50 | 2.11 |
| ROI % | -32.5% | -46.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.25u | -3.68u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
4
McDonald
2
Nakashima
Apr 3, 2025
Houston
C Clay · Round of 16
Jul 23, 2024
Atlanta
H Hard · Round of 32
Mar 1, 2023
Acapulco
H Hard · Round of 16
Jan 5, 2023
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Aug 16, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 64
Nov 15, 2020
Orlando
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs McDonald's 11%).
| Opponent | McDonald | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 26 36 | W 75 63 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | L 26 67 | L 67 46 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 26 36 | W 76 63 |
| Elias Ymer | L 67 64 46 | W 63 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 64 36 63 | L 36 64 67 67 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | L 62 16 26 | W 76 64 |
| Quentin Halys | L 36 26 | W 62 64 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 67 76 46 | W 62 75 |
| Ben Shelton | L 36 46 | L 76 26 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | McDonald | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.6% | 65.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 62.2% | 74.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.8% | 49.9% |
| Aces / Match | 2.5 | 7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 59.1% | 38.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 29.9% | 28.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.8% | 56.4% |
| BP Converted % | 37.9% | 56.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19.4 | 20.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 27.4 | 22.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 64.2% | 72.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47.1% | 52.4% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 14
Shintaro Mochizuki
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Rinky Hijikata
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 4
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Marton Fucsovics
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 16
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Matchup overview
Mackenzie McDonald and Brandon Nakashima face off in the Round of 128 at Australian Open on Hard.
Mackenzie McDonald leads 4-2 over 6 previous meetings.
Mackenzie McDonald is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Jun 14).
Brandon Nakashima is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Francisco Cerundolo (Jun 18).
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