ATP 250 · Finals · Los Cabos
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
💥 Big Hitter
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 8,503 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Cameron Norrie plays Brandon Nakashima.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.11 | 2.11 |
| ROI % | -23.9% | -46.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.63u | -3.68u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
3
Norrie
2
Nakashima
Jul 24, 2025
Washington
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 9, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Round of 64
Jun 22, 2022
Eastbourne
G Grass · Round of 16
Jul 19, 2021
Los Cabos
H Hard · Finals
Feb 13, 2020
Delray Beach
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Norrie's 40%).
| Opponent | Norrie | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 67 62 26 | W 75 63 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 26 | W 76 64 |
| Roberto Bautista Agut | W 76 61 | W 62 75 62 |
| Ethan Quinn | W 63 46 64 | W 76 64 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 36 46 | L 26 46 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 57 64 36 16 | L 67 75 46 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 46 64 63 75 | L 63 67 46 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 67 46 | W 26 62 63 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 76 64 63 | W 63 64 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 36 46 | L 26 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Norrie | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63% | 65.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.1% | 74.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.6% | 49.9% |
| Aces / Match | 4 | 7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.9 | 1.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60% | 38.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.1% | 28.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 47.9% | 56.4% |
| BP Converted % | 41.7% | 56.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25 | 20.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29.8 | 22.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 70.4% | 72.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.6% | 52.4% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Mariano Navone
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 16
May 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jannik Sinner
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 16
Apr 28
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Marton Fucsovics
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 16
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Matchup overview
Cameron Norrie and Brandon Nakashima face off in the Finals at Los Cabos on Hard.
Cameron Norrie leads 3-2 over 5 previous meetings.
Cameron Norrie is 0-5 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Jun 9).
Brandon Nakashima is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Francisco Cerundolo (Jun 18).
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