ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 16 · Mutua Madrid Open
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinner
🎯 Baseliner
Norrie
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 2,343 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jannik Sinner here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinner | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 22–2 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.10 | 2.71 |
| ROI % | +1.1% | +9.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.26u | +1.27u |
First career meeting
Sinner and Norrie have never faced each other on tour.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Norrie's 40%).
| Opponent | Sinner | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 67 61 64 | W 60 67 46 63 64 |
| Tomas Machac | W 61 67 63 | W 62 67 76 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | W 76 63 | L 36 46 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 61 64 | L 57 64 36 16 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 63 60 | W 16 76 75 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 62 | L 67 62 26 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 62 62 | W 46 64 63 75 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 75 76 | L 57 76 46 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 76 76 | L 36 46 |
| Learner Tien | W 61 62 | L 36 63 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sinner | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.4% | 62.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 65.2% | 70.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51% | 48.8% |
| Aces / Match | 4.8 | 4.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 2.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 52.8% | 58.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 19% | 31.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 42.8% | 45.7% |
| BP Converted % | 17.6% | 39.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 15 | 22.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 22.5 | 27.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 55% | 74.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 44.4% | 49.7% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 100% | 71% |
Last five matches per player
Elmer Moller
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 26
Benjamin Bonzi
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 12
Alexander Zverev
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 26
Tomas Machac
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 24
Rafael Jodar
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 16
Apr 15
Stan Wawrinka
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 13
Match summary
Jannik Sinner and Cameron Norrie meet in the Round of 16 at the Mutua Madrid Open on April 28 on outdoor clay. Sinner, ranked number one, arrives on a 19-match winning streak. Norrie, ranked 23rd, has won two consecutive matches but sits at 6-4 over his last ten.
The two have never played. Sinner has defeated Alex de Minaur, Carlos Alcaraz, and Daniil Medvedev recently, while Norrie lost to all three. Sinner remains undefeated in his last two weeks despite playing twice in fourteen days; Norrie has played five matches in the same span.
Sinner operates from the baseline with heavy spin and consistency, having won 18 of 20 clay matches in the recent sample. Norrie relies on aggressive striking and serves at higher speeds, posting a 14-6 clay record. The fast Madrid clay surface will test how Norrie can shorten points before Sinner's baseline control takes over rallies.
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