Grand Slam · Round of 16 · Roland Garros
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Aryna Sabalenka and Naomi Osaka are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 7,186 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–4 | 11–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 2.29 |
| ROI % | -19.9% | +54.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.19u | +7.67u |
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
4
Sabalenka
1
Osaka
Jun 1, 2026
French Open
C Clay ·
May 25, 2026
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 16
Apr 21, 2026
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 16
Mar 4, 2026
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 27, 2018
US Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Sabalenka's 70%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Diana Shnaider | L | W 61 62 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W | W 60 46 63 |
| Iva Jovic | W 63 60 | W |
| Laura Siegemund | W 46 62 64 | W |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 62 36 57 | W 63 46 62 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 62 26 67 | W 63 61 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 46 63 | W 63 62 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 76 64 | L 62 46 16 |
| Linda Noskova | W 63 64 | L 67 36 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 63 | W 62 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sabalenka | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.9% | 59.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.5% | 65.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.1% | 47.8% |
| Aces / Match | 3.2 | 3.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 3.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.1% | 46.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.8% | 41.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.8% | 55.4% |
| BP Converted % | 39.8% | 67.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.1% | 52.8% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 76% | 73% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Aryna Sabalenka and Naomi Osaka face off in the Round of 16 at Roland Garros on Clay.
Aryna Sabalenka leads 4-1 over 5 previous meetings.
Aryna Sabalenka is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Diana Shnaider (Jun 3).
Naomi Osaka is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Aryna Sabalenka (Jun 1).
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