Grand Slam · Round of 16 · US Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
👑 The Complete Package
Sabalenka
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Naomi Osaka and Aryna Sabalenka are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 1,590 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 2–0 |
| Avg odds | 2.00 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | +109.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | +2.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Osaka
2
Sabalenka
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Osaka's 60%).
| Opponent | Osaka | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 16 | W 76 46 60 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W 63 46 62 | L 62 36 57 |
| Hailey Baptiste | W 63 61 | L 62 26 67 |
| Coco Gauff | W 63 62 | W 62 46 63 |
| Linda Noskova | L 67 36 | W 63 64 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 62 46 16 | W 76 64 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 62 | W 62 63 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 64 76 | W 63 64 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 76 67 36 | W 63 36 63 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 46 75 63 | W 63 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Osaka | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61% | 66.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.1% | 72.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.9% | 56% |
| Aces / Match | 5.2 | 5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 2.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.2% | 63% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 38.2% | 33.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 55.5% | 56.1% |
| BP Converted % | 49.5% | 42.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.2% | 54.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 50% | 100% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Naomi Osaka and Aryna Sabalenka face off in the Round of 16 at US Open on Hard.
Naomi Osaka leads 1-2 over 3 previous meetings.
Naomi Osaka is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Diana Shnaider (May 5).
Aryna Sabalenka is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Barbora Krejcikova (May 5).
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