WTA 1000 · Quarterfinals · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baptiste
💥 Big Hitter
Sabalenka
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 63% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 1,190 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Aryna Sabalenka here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baptiste | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–0 | 2–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.57 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | +57.0% | +109.5% |
| Units P/L | +1.14u | +2.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Baptiste
1
Sabalenka
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Baptiste's 40%).
| Opponent | Baptiste | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Elina Svitolina | L 16 26 | W 62 63 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W 67 61 62 | L 62 36 57 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 75 63 | W 63 61 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 36 16 | W 67 63 62 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 75 | W 63 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 67 62 26 | W 64 63 |
| Coco Gauff | L 63 06 36 | W 62 46 63 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 76 63 | W 76 64 |
| Madison Keys | L 36 57 | W 63 63 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 46 64 67 | W 64 26 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Baptiste | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 55.7% | 66.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.6% | 72.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.4% | 56% |
| Aces / Match | 6 | 5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4.2 | 2.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 57.3% | 63% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 35.9% | 33.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.3% | 56.1% |
| BP Converted % | 46.7% | 42.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.6% | 54.9% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 60% | 67% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Hailey Baptiste and Aryna Sabalenka face off in the Quarterfinals at Madrid on Clay.
Hailey Baptiste leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Hailey Baptiste is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Elina Svitolina (May 5).
Aryna Sabalenka is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Barbora Krejcikova (May 5).
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