WTA 1000 · Quarterfinals · Miami
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
👑 The Complete Package
Baptiste
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 63% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 1,190 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Aryna Sabalenka here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–0 | 2–0 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 1.57 |
| ROI % | +109.5% | +57.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.19u | +1.14u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Sabalenka
1
Baptiste
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Baptiste's 40%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| Sorana Cirstea | L 62 36 57 | W 67 61 62 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 63 | L 16 26 |
| Naomi Osaka | W 67 63 62 | L 36 16 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 63 61 | W 75 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 64 63 | L 67 62 26 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 46 63 | L 63 06 36 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 62 | W 63 75 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 76 64 | W 76 63 |
| Madison Keys | W 63 63 | L 36 57 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 64 26 63 | L 46 64 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sabalenka | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.1% | 55.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.9% | 69.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 56% | 51.4% |
| Aces / Match | 5 | 6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.2 | 4.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 63% | 57.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.9% | 35.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56.1% | 52.3% |
| BP Converted % | 42.2% | 46.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.9% | 51.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 100% | 71% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Aryna Sabalenka and Hailey Baptiste face off in the Quarterfinals at Miami on Hard.
Aryna Sabalenka leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Aryna Sabalenka is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Barbora Krejcikova (May 5).
Hailey Baptiste is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Elina Svitolina (May 5).
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