WTA 1000 · Round of 32 · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baptiste
💥 Big Hitter
Paolini
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,074 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Hailey Baptiste plays Jasmine Paolini.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baptiste | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–0 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.57 | - |
| ROI % | +57.0% | - |
| Units P/L | +1.14u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Baptiste
1
Paolini
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Baptiste and Paolini posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Baptiste | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Elina Svitolina | L 16 26 | L 64 67 16 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 26 62 76 | L 36 16 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 61 67 63 | W 57 75 63 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | W 63 64 | L 75 26 57 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 63 67 63 | W 63 16 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 67 62 26 | L 36 26 |
| Katie Boulter | L 57 75 46 | W 06 63 63 |
| Coco Gauff | L 63 06 36 | L 36 26 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 46 64 67 | L 26 36 |
| Leylah Fernandez | L 26 57 | W 76 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Baptiste | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 55.7% | 65% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.6% | 61.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.4% | 48% |
| Aces / Match | 6 | 3.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4.2 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 57.3% | 56.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 35.9% | 37% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.3% | 51% |
| BP Converted % | 46.7% | 41.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.6% | 49.5% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 60% | 40% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Hailey Baptiste and Jasmine Paolini face off in the Round of 32 at Madrid on Clay.
Hailey Baptiste leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Hailey Baptiste is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Elina Svitolina (May 5).
Jasmine Paolini is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Elise Mertens (May 5).
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