WTA 1000 · Round of 64 · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
👑 The Complete Package
Stearns
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 63% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 1,190 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Aryna Sabalenka here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–0 | 3–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | +109.5% | -23.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.19u | -1.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Sabalenka
0
Stearns
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Stearns's 13%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 62 63 | W 64 16 76 |
| Madison Keys | W 63 63 | L 64 46 26 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 61 64 | L 46 57 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 63 36 63 | L 16 46 |
| Olga Danilovic | W 62 63 | L 67 16 |
| Emma Raducanu | W 76 46 76 | L 26 46 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 46 62 64 | L 46 26 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 61 60 | L 36 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sabalenka | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.1% | 60.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.9% | 67.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 56% | 48.8% |
| Aces / Match | 5 | 2.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 63% | 54.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.9% | 36.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56.1% | 52.8% |
| BP Converted % | 42.2% | 45.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.9% | 51% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 67% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Aryna Sabalenka and Peyton Stearns face off in the Round of 64 at Madrid on Clay.
Aryna Sabalenka leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Aryna Sabalenka is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Barbora Krejcikova (May 5).
Peyton Stearns is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Maria Sakkari (May 17).
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