WTA 1000 · Round of 16 · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
👑 The Complete Package
Osaka
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Aryna Sabalenka and Naomi Osaka are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 1,590 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–0 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 2.00 |
| ROI % | +109.5% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.19u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Sabalenka
1
Osaka
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Osaka's 60%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Sorana Cirstea | L 62 36 57 | W 63 46 62 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 76 46 60 | L 26 16 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 62 26 67 | W 63 61 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 46 63 | W 63 62 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 76 64 | L 62 46 16 |
| Linda Noskova | W 63 64 | L 67 36 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 63 | W 62 62 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 63 64 | W 64 76 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 63 36 63 | L 76 67 36 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 62 | W 46 76 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sabalenka | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.1% | 61% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.9% | 68.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 56% | 47.9% |
| Aces / Match | 5 | 5.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.2 | 2.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 63% | 51.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.9% | 38.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56.1% | 55.5% |
| BP Converted % | 42.2% | 49.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.9% | 52.2% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 67% | 67% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Aryna Sabalenka and Naomi Osaka face off in the Round of 16 at Madrid on Clay.
Aryna Sabalenka leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Aryna Sabalenka is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Barbora Krejcikova (May 5).
Naomi Osaka is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Diana Shnaider (May 5).
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