WTA 1000 · Round of 32 · Cincinnati
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Raducanu
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 57% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 4,155 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Emma Raducanu here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Raducanu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | -22.7% | +3.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.08u | +0.24u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Sabalenka
0
Raducanu
Aug 7, 2025
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 30, 2025
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 32
Mar 6, 2024
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Raducanu's 60%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Raducanu |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L | L 63 67 06 |
| Iva Jovic | W 63 60 | W |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 62 36 57 | W |
| Naomi Osaka | W | W 64 62 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 62 63 | L 64 67 16 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 75 63 | W 62 64 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 61 64 | W 63 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 64 63 | L 16 26 |
| Ann Li | W 76 64 | W 67 63 61 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 63 36 63 | L 16 16 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sabalenka | Raducanu |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.9% | 65.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.5% | 61.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.1% | 36.7% |
| Aces / Match | 3.2 | 5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.1% | 76.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.8% | 41% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.8% | 50% |
| BP Converted % | 39.8% | 44.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.1% | 48.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Aryna Sabalenka and Emma Raducanu face off in the Round of 32 at Cincinnati on Hard.
Aryna Sabalenka leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Aryna Sabalenka is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jessica Pegula (Jun 20).
Emma Raducanu is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Donna Vekic (Jun 14).
Share this match
