WTA 500 · Berlin
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 4,202 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jessica Pegula here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Grass, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 13–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 1.51 |
| ROI % | +0.1% | -22.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.01u | -4.08u |
Prior meetings and scores · 13 career meetings
4
Pegula
9
Sabalenka
Jun 20, 2026
Berlin
G Grass ·
Nov 1, 2025
Riyadh Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 6, 2025
Wuhan
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 25, 2025
Us Open
H Hard · Semifinals
Mar 18, 2025
Miami
H Hard · Final
Aug 26, 2024
Us Open
H Hard · Final
Aug 12, 2024
Cincinnati
H Hard · Final
Oct 30, 2023
Cancun Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 31, 2022
Fort Worth Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
May 9, 2022
Rome
C Clay · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Sabalenka's 80%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Madison Keys | W | W 63 63 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 36 63 62 | L |
| Rebeka Masarova | W 60 60 | W 75 61 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 76 62 | W 76 76 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 63 63 | W 62 63 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 16 46 | W 64 63 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 64 61 | W 61 64 |
| Hailey Baptiste | W 64 46 76 | L 62 26 67 |
| Iva Jovic | W 64 57 63 | W 63 60 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 62 62 | W 63 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Pegula | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.9% | 65.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.6% | 69.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.3% | 53.1% |
| Aces / Match | 2.6 | 3.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.5 | 3.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 65.2% | 58.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 40.5% | 36.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.4% | 57.8% |
| BP Converted % | 39.5% | 39.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.5% | 54.1% |
| Surface (Grass) | ||
| Grass Win % | 100% | 100% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Jessica Pegula and Aryna Sabalenka face off in the match at Berlin on Grass.
Jessica Pegula leads 4-9 over 13 previous meetings.
Jessica Pegula is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Aryna Sabalenka (Jun 20).
Aryna Sabalenka is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jessica Pegula (Jun 20).
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