ATP 250 · Round of 32 · Adelaide 2
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,955 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Alejandro Davidovich Fokina plays Brandon Nakashima.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.04 | 2.11 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | -46.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.60u | -3.68u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Fokina
1
Nakashima
Jan 6, 2026
Brisbane International presented by ANZ
H Hard · Round of 32
Mar 24, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Jan 9, 2023
Adelaide 2
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Fokina's 60%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 64 46 | W 75 63 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 26 76 16 | W 63 64 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 62 | W 76 63 |
| Quentin Halys | L 67 46 | W 62 64 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 46 | L 67 75 46 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 61 63 | W 63 64 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 76 62 | W 26 62 63 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 76 36 75 | L 36 46 |
| Reilly Opelka | W 63 76 57 46 64 | W 75 62 67 63 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 61 46 63 76 | L 36 64 67 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Fokina | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 69% | 65.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66.4% | 74.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.8% | 49.9% |
| Aces / Match | 2.9 | 7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 49.7% | 38.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34.3% | 28.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.9% | 56.4% |
| BP Converted % | 44.2% | 56.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.1 | 20.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.8 | 22.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 72% | 72.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.5% | 52.4% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Marton Fucsovics
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 16
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Matchup overview
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Brandon Nakashima face off in the Round of 32 at Adelaide 2 on Hard.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Corentin Moutet (Jun 18).
Brandon Nakashima is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Francisco Cerundolo (Jun 18).
Share this match
