Yoshihito Nishioka vs Yosuke WatanukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇯🇵Yoshihito Nishioka
#202 · 30 yrs · L
28w4 meetings · sets 7–2

🇯🇵Yosuke Watanuki
#415 · 28 yrs · R
5wYoshihito Nishioka and Yosuke Watanuki have met 4 times since 2018; Yoshihito Nishioka leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Canberra 2 in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Nishioka leads 3–1. Nishioka has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Nishioka has taken 7 sets to Watanuki's 2. Their most recent meeting: Yoshihito Nishioka won at ATP Masters 1000 Paris (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nishioka | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Yoshihito Nishioka | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 12/16 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 71% | 5/7 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 9/23 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 65% | 11/17 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 4/6 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 14/16 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 12/16 | 60% | 9/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nishioka 3, Watanuki 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishioka
🎯 Baseliner
Watanuki
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 29, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 25, 2022
Columbus Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 15, 2018
Kobe
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 2, 2018
Canberra 2
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishioka | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.01 |
| ROI % | - | -19.8% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.58u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Nishioka and Watanuki posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Nishioka | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Frederico Ferreira Silva | L 06 75 67 | W 64 64 |
| Rio Noguchi | W 63 62 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coleman Wong
Delray Beach Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Jurij Rodionov
Davis Cup, World Group, Q, JPN-AUT 2-3 · Rubber 5
Feb 7
Kyrian Jacquet
Canberra Challenger · 1st Round
Jan 5
Jason Jung
Kobe Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 11
James Duckworth
Taipei Challenger · Final
Nov 9
James McCabe
Taipei Challenger · Semifinals
Nov 8
Akira Santillan
Taipei Challenger · Quarterfinals
Nov 7
Jason Jung
Taipei Challenger · 2nd Round
Nov 6
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Andre Ilagan
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
August Holmgren
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jack Kennedy
Cary Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Tung-Lin Wu
Cary Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Andre Ilagan
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Vitaliy Sachko
Bratislava Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–25 matches
| Metric | Nishioka | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 52% |
| Sets won | 67% | 53% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nishioka | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nishioka | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.