Yoshihito Nishioka vs Yosuke WatanukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Yoshihito Nishioka and Yosuke Watanuki have met 4 times since 2018; Yoshihito Nishioka leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Canberra 2 in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Nishioka leads 3–1. Nishioka has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Nishioka has taken 7 sets to Watanuki's 2. Their most recent meeting: Yoshihito Nishioka won at ATP Masters 1000 Paris (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nishioka | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Yoshihito Nishioka | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 11/14 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 3/6 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 6/20 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 9/15 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 1/3 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 3/4 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 13/15 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 63% | 10/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nishioka 3, Watanuki 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishioka
🎯 Baseliner
Watanuki
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,249 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 29, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 25, 2022
Columbus Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 15, 2018
Kobe
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 2, 2018
Canberra 2
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishioka | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–2 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 4.47 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | -10.3% | -39.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.31u | -2.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nishioka | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | — |
| Route | JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Watanuki has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Nishioka's 0%).
| Opponent | Nishioka | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Frederico Ferreira Silva | L 06 75 67 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dalibor Svrcina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Coleman Wong
Delray Beach Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Jurij Rodionov
Davis Cup, World Group, Q, JPN-AUT 2-3 · Rubber 5
Feb 7
George Loffhagen
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 14
Nerman Fatic
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 12
Semen Pankin
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Semen Pankin
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Andre Ilagan
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
August Holmgren
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 20–25 matches
| Metric | Nishioka | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 56% |
| Sets won | 67% | 56% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nishioka | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nishioka | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.

