Roberto Carballes Baena vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#258 · 33 yrs · R
5w4 meetings · sets 2–9
🇬🇷Stefanos Tsitsipas
#43 · 28 yrs · R
Roberto Carballes Baena and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 4 times since 2018; Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Estoril in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Tsitsipas leads 3–0. Tsitsipas has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Baena has taken 2 sets to Tsitsipas's 9. Their most recent meeting: Stefanos Tsitsipas won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carballes Baena | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Roberto Carballes Baena | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 14/24 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 20/47 | 27% | 13/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 12/28 | 50% | 17/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 7/16 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 20/24 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 14/24 | 77% | 24/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carballes Baena 0, Tsitsipas 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Stefanos Tsitsipas.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 28, 2024
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 18, 2024
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 3rd Round
May 31, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 4, 2018
Estoril
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Baena | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Roberto Carballes Baena | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 100% | 21/21 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 81% | 17/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 24% | 5/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 14% | 3/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baena | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 18–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -54.3% | +20.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.26u | +4.88u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Baena | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | — | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tsitsipas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Baena's 50%).
| Opponent | Baena | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Molcan | L 60 36 46 | W 26 63 64 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 60 63 | W 46 63 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Luciano Darderi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Kimmer Coppejans
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Valentin Vacherot
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yoshihito Nishioka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alex Molcan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Norbert Gombos
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–58 matches
| Metric | Baena | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 62% |
| Sets won | 51% | 60% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Baena | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Baena | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
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