Roberto Carballes Baena vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#209 · 33 yrs · R
5w4 meetings · sets 2–9
🇬🇷Stefanos Tsitsipas
#53 · 28 yrs · R
Roberto Carballes Baena and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 4 times since 2018; Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Estoril in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Tsitsipas leads 3–0. Tsitsipas has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Baena has taken 2 sets to Tsitsipas's 9. Their most recent meeting: Stefanos Tsitsipas won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carballes Baena | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Roberto Carballes Baena | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 15/26 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 9/21 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 20/47 | 27% | 11/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 13/29 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 6/12 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 22/26 | 92% | 23/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 15/26 | 76% | 19/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carballes Baena 0, Tsitsipas 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Stefanos Tsitsipas.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 28, 2024
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 18, 2024
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 3rd Round
May 31, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 4, 2018
Estoril
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Baena | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Roberto Carballes Baena | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baena | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | -20.3% | -8.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.84u | -1.28u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Baena | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Baena and Tsitsipas posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Baena | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 60 63 | W 46 63 62 62 |
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | W 63 62 | W 62 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Jenson Brooksby
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Valentin Royer
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Martin Damm
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex de Minaur
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Final
Jul 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–47 matches
| Metric | Baena | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 57% |
| Sets won | 54% | 57% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Baena | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Baena | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
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