Rinky Hijikata vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Rinky Hijikata and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 2 times since 2023; Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Tsitsipas leads 2–0. Tsitsipas has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Hijikata has taken 0 sets to Tsitsipas's 5. Their most recent meeting: Stefanos Tsitsipas won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2023).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
- Level
- ATP 500
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 28 · 10:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.28 or shorter, Stefanos Tsitsipas has won 157 of 192 (82%). That is level with the 81% the price implied.
At 3.57 or longer, Rinky Hijikata has won 3 of 30 (10%). The price implied 20%, so Rinky Hijikata has fallen 10 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Rinky Hijikata will meet Stefanos Tsitsipas in the 3rd Round Qualifying at the Japan Open Tennis Championships on September 28, a hard court matchup between the world number 82 and number 44. Hijikata arrives fresh off a match, while Tsitsipas has played three times in the last 14 days and is riding a three-match winning streak.
Tsitsipas leads their head-to-head 2-0 in two meetings. Hijikata's recent record stands at 2-3 over his last five matches but 6-4 over ten. Tsitsipas has won four of his last five and seven of ten, demonstrating steadier momentum through qualifying. Both players have split results against common opponents; Hijikata beat Aleksandar Kovacevic while Tsitsipas fell to him, and Tsitsipas defeated Arthur Fery while Hijikata lost to him.
Hijikata operates as a big hitter who aims to shorten points and dictate from the baseline. Tsitsipas relies on his serve as a primary weapon and has compiled an 11-9 record on hard courts. Hijikata's hard court sample sits at 12-8, showing both men hold moderate comfort on the surface. The match will test whether Hijikata's aggressive baseline game can disrupt Tsitsipas's serving rhythm and consistency.
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hijikata | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Rinky Hijikata | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 28/48 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 10/32 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 30/80 | 25% | 11/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 20/44 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 20/33 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 26/39 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 35/38 | 93% | 25/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 78% | 21/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Hijikata 0, Tsitsipas 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hijikata
💥 Big Hitter
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,904 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 7, 2023
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 18, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Hijikata | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Rinky Hijikata | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 94% | 17/18 |
| 5 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 78% | 14/18 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 28% | 5/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 17% | 3/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hijikata | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 15–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.72 | 2.00 |
| ROI % | -3.8% | +23.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.45u | +4.92u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Hijikata | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 8,639 mi · 13,903 km | 6,741 mi · 10,849 km |
| Route | USA → CHN → JPN | USA → JPN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tsitsipas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Hijikata's 40%).
| Opponent | Hijikata | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | L 36 36 | L 36 67 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 46 75 76 | W 26 61 76 61 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | L 57 64 36 57 | L 36 57 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 62 | L 36 67 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 36 76 76 | W 64 67 63 |
| Denis Shapovalov | L 62 36 26 | L 26 63 46 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 36 63 64 | W 64 64 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 16 26 | L 46 57 |
| Arthur Fery | L 67 36 | W 61 76 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | L 64 67 67 | W 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Dalibor Svrcina
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Felix Auger Aliassime
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Benjamin Bonzi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Raphael Collignon
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Darwin Blanch
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Jakub Mensik
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Yoshihito Nishioka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alex Molcan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Norbert Gombos
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Jiri Lehecka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Lloyd Harris
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Arthur Fils
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–85 matches
| Metric | Hijikata | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 60% |
| Sets won | 54% | 58% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Hijikata | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Hijikata | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |