Rigele Te vs Rio NoguchiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Shanghai Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 6 · 4:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.25 or shorter, Rio Noguchi has won 17 of 20 (85%). The price implied 80%, so Rio Noguchi has beaten it by 5 points.
At 3.64 or longer, Rigele Te has won 4 of 16 (25%). The price implied 19%, so Rigele Te has beaten it by 6 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Rio Noguchi will face Rigele Te in the 1st Round of the Shanghai Challenger on hard court September 7. Noguchi, ranked 219th, arrives from an 11-day break after a single match in the past fortnight. Te, ranked 1058th, comes in sharp following five consecutive wins and five matches played over the last 14 days.
The two have never met. Recently they have played some overlapping opponents with differing results; Te defeated both Amar Tahirovic and Andre Ilagan in that span while Noguchi lost to both. On hard courts in recent play, Te has won 55% of his matches at 11-9, while Noguchi stands at an even 10-10 record. Noguchi's form has dipped noticeably, winning only 2 of his last 5 matches and currently on a two-match losing streak.
Noguchi operates as a grinding baseline player, while Te is a power-oriented hitter who relies on aggressive shot-making. Te's recent momentum and consistency at this surface contrast with Noguchi's recent struggles. The match will test whether Te's current rhythm and aggressive approach can break through Noguchi's endurance-based game.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Te | Noguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Rigele Te | Rio Noguchi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 16/20 | 58% | 19/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 5/17 | 36% | 10/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 9/37 | 39% | 24/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 14/20 | 34% | 10/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 5/13 | 68% | 19/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 1/3 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 77% | 24/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 16/22 | 61% | 19/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Te
💥 Big Hitter
Noguchi
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,466 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Rigele Te.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Te and Noguchi have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Te | Noguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Rigele Te | Rio Noguchi | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 54% | 7/13 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Te | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | -16.3% | -13.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.47u | -2.09u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Te | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | — | 1,547 mi · 2,489 km |
| Route | CHN | MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Te has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Noguchi's 25%).
| Opponent | Te | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Andre Ilagan | W 63 36 64 | L 57 63 36 |
| Oliwer Wierzbicki | W 62 63 | L 36 36 |
| Jake Delaney | L 46 26 | W 62 64 |
| Tung-Lin Wu | L 46 16 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tianhui Zhang
M15 Maanshan · Final
Aug 30
Chase Ferguson
M15 Maanshan · Semifinals
Aug 29
Joshua Charlton
M15 Maanshan · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Xirui Han
M15 Maanshan · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Anmar Faleh Alhogbani
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 26
Isaac Becroft
M15 Maanshan · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Daniil Sarksian
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 19
Oliver Crawford
M25 Roda de Bara · 1st Round
Jul 7
Bu Yunchaokete
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Alan Magadan
Cancun Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 18
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 18
Charles Broom
Winnipeg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Keegan Rice
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Braden Shick
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Mark Lajal
Lincoln Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Lincoln Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–61 matches
| Metric | Te | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 54% |
| Sets won | 54% | 52% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |