Pablo Carreno Busta vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Pablo Carreno Busta and Tomas Machac have met 1 time since 2026; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 1–0. Across all meetings Busta has taken 2 sets to Machac's 0. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carreno Busta | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Pablo Carreno Busta | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 23/40 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 27/60 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 18/38 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 31/35 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 23/35 | 75% | 6/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carreno Busta 1, Machac 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 554 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 14, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 0–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | +0.8% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.07u | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Busta | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 313 mi · 503 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Machac has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Busta's 50%).
| Opponent | Busta | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | L 67 16 | L 46 36 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 63 36 61 36 46 | L 46 64 36 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 63 76 63 | L 46 76 26 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 57 75 75 | W 26 64 61 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 63 | W 36 76 63 |
| Quentin Halys | L 64 57 36 | W 64 62 |
| Grigor Dimitrov | L 36 26 | W 64 64 63 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 64 26 76 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tomas Machac
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Vilius Gaubas
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Matej Dodig
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rafael Jodar
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexander Zverev
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Zizou Bergs
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 7
Cameron Norrie
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 2nd Round
Apr 24
Francisco Comesana
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 22
Andrey Rublev
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 30–65 matches
| Metric | Busta | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 50% |
| Sets won | 60% | 50% |
| Games won | 53% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Busta | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Busta | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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