Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Pablo Carreno Busta and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 3 times since 2018; Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Barcelona in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Tsitsipas leads 2–0. Tsitsipas has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Busta has taken 0 sets to Tsitsipas's 7. Their most recent meeting: Stefanos Tsitsipas won at French Open - Paris (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carreno Busta | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Pablo Carreno Busta | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 18/34 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 8/18 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 24/52 | 27% | 13/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 14/29 | 50% | 17/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 10/15 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 18/27 | 77% | 24/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carreno Busta 0, Tsitsipas 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Stefanos Tsitsipas.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 6, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 4th Round
Feb 25, 2020
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 24, 2018
Barcelona
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Busta | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Pablo Carreno Busta | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 100% | 21/21 |
| 3 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 5 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 81% | 17/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 24% | 5/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 14% | 3/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 18–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.41 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -16.8% | +20.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.18u | +4.88u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Busta | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Busta and Tsitsipas posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Busta | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 36 64 16 | L 36 57 |
| Kimmer Coppejans | W 62 63 | W 63 75 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 26 | W 63 64 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 16 67 64 26 | W 26 61 76 61 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 67 16 | L 36 67 |
| Tomas Machac | W 63 62 | L 46 67 |
| Valentin Royer | L 61 57 26 | W 76 75 |
| Martin Damm | W 63 63 | W 64 64 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 63 76 | L 26 63 46 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 62 | L 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Mariano Navone
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Adrian Mannarino
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yi Zhou
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jiri Lehecka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Luciano Darderi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Kimmer Coppejans
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Valentin Vacherot
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yoshihito Nishioka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alex Molcan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Norbert Gombos
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–58 matches
| Metric | Busta | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 62% |
| Sets won | 58% | 60% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Busta | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Busta | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.