Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Pablo Carreno Busta and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 3 times since 2018; Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Barcelona in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Tsitsipas leads 2–0. Tsitsipas has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Busta has taken 0 sets to Tsitsipas's 7. Their most recent meeting: Stefanos Tsitsipas won at French Open - Paris (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carreno Busta | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Pablo Carreno Busta | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 23/40 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 27/60 | 27% | 11/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 18/38 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 31/35 | 92% | 23/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 23/35 | 76% | 19/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carreno Busta 0, Tsitsipas 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 767 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 6, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 4th Round
Feb 25, 2020
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 24, 2018
Barcelona
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Busta | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Pablo Carreno Busta | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | +0.8% | -8.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.07u | -1.28u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Busta | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Tsitsipas's 43%).
| Opponent | Busta | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | L 67 16 | L 36 67 |
| Tomas Machac | W 63 62 | L 46 67 |
| Valentin Royer | L 61 57 26 | W 76 75 |
| Martin Damm | W 63 63 | W 64 64 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 63 76 | L 26 63 46 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 62 | L 46 67 |
| Billy Harris | W 75 63 | W 46 61 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tomas Machac
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Vilius Gaubas
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Matej Dodig
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rafael Jodar
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Jenson Brooksby
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Valentin Royer
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Martin Damm
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex de Minaur
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Final
Jul 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–65 matches
| Metric | Busta | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 57% |
| Sets won | 60% | 57% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Busta | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Busta | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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