Novak Djokovic vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Novak Djokovic and Tomas Machac have met 3 times since 2023; Novak Djokovic leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Djokovic leads 2–0. Across all meetings Djokovic has taken 6 sets to Machac's 3. Their most recent meeting: Novak Djokovic won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Djokovic | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Novak Djokovic | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 4/9 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 75% | 3/4 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 62% | 8/13 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 1/1 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 80% | 4/5 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 63% | 5/8 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 4/8 | 63% | 5/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Djokovic 0, Machac 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Djokovic
🤖 Servebot
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 17, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 24, 2024
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva
C Clay · Semifinals
Feb 28, 2023
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Djokovic | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Novak Djokovic | Tomas Machac | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Djokovic | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.67 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | +17.7% | -56.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.42u | -4.51u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Djokovic | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Djokovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Machac's 40%).
| Opponent | Djokovic | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | W 46 64 64 | L 46 26 26 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 63 64 | W 76 67 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 46 | L 16 76 36 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 63 64 62 | W 64 76 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W | L 75 46 26 75 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hubert Hurkacz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Bu Yunchaokete
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Nuno Borges
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Zhizhen Zhang
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yannick Hanfmann
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–33 matches
| Metric | Djokovic | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 48% |
| Sets won | 63% | 48% |
| Games won | 54% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Djokovic | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Djokovic | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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