Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly OpelkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Reilly Opelka have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2026 on hard. Across all meetings Kjaer has taken 0 sets to Opelka's 3. Their most recent meeting: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Budkov Kjaer | Opelka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Reilly Opelka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 14/28 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 7/30 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 34% | 12/35 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 35% | 8/23 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 10/23 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 67% | 8/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kjaer
🎯 Baseliner
Opelka
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,590 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 23, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Jan 19, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kjaer | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–9 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.81 | - |
| ROI % | -25.6% | - |
| Units P/L | -4.36u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kjaer | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 461 mi · 742 km | — |
| Route | FRA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Balshaw
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Billy Harris
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Jie Cui
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Titouan Droguet
Cassis Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Moez Echargui
Cassis Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Cassis Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Felix Balshaw
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Federico Cina
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 23
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 13
Taylor Fritz
Barcelona · Round of 64
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Tokyo · Round of 32
Mar 22
Jack Draper
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Nuno Borges
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–64 matches
| Metric | Kjaer | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 52% |
| Sets won | 45% | 54% |
| Games won | 49% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kjaer | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kjaer | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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