Naomi Osaka vs Yuliia StarodubtsevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#18 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–1
🇺🇦Yuliia Starodubtseva
#44 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
3Naomi Osaka and Yuliia Starodubtseva have met 1 time since 2025; Naomi Osaka leads 1–0. Across all meetings Osaka has taken 2 sets to Starodubtseva's 1. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Osaka | Starodubtseva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naomi Osaka | Yuliia Starodubtseva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 22/33 | 74% | 23/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 3/11 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 38% | 23/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 18/33 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 6/10 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 32/34 | 77% | 27/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 22/34 | 66% | 23/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Osaka 0, Starodubtseva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Starodubtseva
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Naomi Osaka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 18, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Osaka | Starodubtseva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naomi Osaka | Yuliia Starodubtseva | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 40% | 4/10 |
| 5 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–4 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 2.64 |
| ROI % | -14.3% | -11.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.86u | -1.14u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osaka | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Starodubtseva's 43%).
| Opponent | Osaka | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 16 46 | L 67 36 |
| Elise Mertens | W 63 36 75 | L 16 46 |
| Maria Sakkari | L 46 26 | W 16 76 62 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 76 76 | L 46 63 36 |
| Anhelina Kalinina | W 61 63 | L 36 67 |
| Eva Lys | W 64 46 63 | W 61 64 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 63 36 64 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Sara Bejlek
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maria Timofeeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Elise Mertens
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Katerina Siniakova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Anastasia Zakharova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Sakkari
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Ella Seidel
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Elise Mertens
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Janice Tjen
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Lilli Tagger
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 24
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–60 matches
| Metric | Osaka | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 52% |
| Sets won | 68% | 54% |
| Games won | 56% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osaka | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osaka | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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