Naomi Osaka vs Yuliia StarodubtsevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#13 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–1
🇺🇦Yuliia Starodubtseva
#74 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
Naomi Osaka and Yuliia Starodubtseva have met 1 time since 2025; Naomi Osaka leads 1–0. Across all meetings Osaka has taken 2 sets to Starodubtseva's 1. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Osaka | Starodubtseva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naomi Osaka | Yuliia Starodubtseva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 22/31 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 4/12 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 13/43 | 39% | 17/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 17/32 | 33% | 8/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 9/14 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 29/33 | 74% | 17/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 22/33 | 61% | 14/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Osaka 0, Starodubtseva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Starodubtseva
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 958 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 18, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Osaka | Starodubtseva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naomi Osaka | Yuliia Starodubtseva | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 5 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–3 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | +15.1% | -28.4% |
| Units P/L | +2.27u | -2.56u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osaka | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 350 mi · 563 km | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN | CAN → POL → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Starodubtseva's 40%).
| Opponent | Osaka | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Elise Mertens | W 61 62 | L 16 46 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 64 67 46 | W 36 61 76 |
| Anhelina Kalinina | W 61 63 | L 36 67 |
| Eva Lys | W 64 46 63 | W 61 64 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 76 67 36 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Elise Mertens
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Janice Tjen
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Lilli Tagger
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 24
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Sloane Stephens
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Anna Blinkova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Anastasia Zakharova
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–44 matches
| Metric | Osaka | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 45% |
| Sets won | 67% | 49% |
| Games won | 56% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osaka | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osaka | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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